Cross-Market Thesis

Iran meeting happens late April

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $11,357 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x20d9178% win rate

Total

$11,357

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
    $1,931 @ 52¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
    $3,084 @ 89¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
    $1,375 @ 72¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $1,225 @ 56¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
    $1,741 @ 76¢
  6. 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 44¢