What is the Arc token launch prediction market about?

This market tracks whether Arc will launch an official governance token by December 31, 2026. The token must be live, publicly transferable, and tradable for the market to resolve “Yes.”

When does the Arc token launch market resolve?

The market resolves after the deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, with the listed resolution time corresponding to January 1, 2027 UTC.

Would an Arc token announcement count as a launch?

No. The rules state that announcements alone do not qualify. Arc must launch a governance token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable.

What sources determine the outcome of this market?

The primary resolution source is official information from Arc. If needed, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to determine whether the token launch criteria were met.

How much smart money is tracked on this Arc Polymarket?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,120 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market, including alerts tied to profitable event and cross-market traders.

Part of: Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Arc will officially launch a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. To resolve “Yes,” the token must be publicly transferable and tradable; announcements alone are not enough. PolySpotter is tracking $1,120 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this Arc token launch market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,604.

Categories: Crypto, Arc, Pre-Market, token launch

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the No side on a thin Arc token-launch market with recent odds moving downward.

This bettor has traded across 48 related markets and is up about $79k lifetime.
They are effectively backing No at 42¢ while Yes odds are down 18 points this week.
The $1.1k trade is meaningful for a market with only about $3.4k in 24h volume.

$1,120 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large relative bet is buying No on a thin crypto-token launch market despite recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $41,496 lifetime.
They are taking No at 31¢ against a market that has moved toward Yes by 12.5 points this week.
The $1,484 bet is meaningful for a market with only $4,316 in liquidity.

$1,484 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%