Part of: Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
This Polymarket market asks whether the Republican Party’s candidate will win the 2028 US presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,188 in smart money activity and 1 signal, with a recent alert showing 98% winner backing Republicans. The market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same party, or by inauguration rules if needed.
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,188.
Categories: US Election, Elections, Politics, Global Elections, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
98% winner backing Republicans
Sharp-wallet override: a 98% winner with positive lifetime P&L is buying Republicans at 40¢ despite only modest trade size and a common 2-market cross-market signal.
- This bettor has won 596 of 606 resolved trades and is up $4.4K lifetime.
- They are building a related 2028 election view across 2 markets with about $3K deployed.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see Republican odds as underpriced versus the current market.
$1,188 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $101,499
- 0x011f...1122 — Yes, $54,839 (41% win rate)
- 0xa771...162d — Yes, $22,335
- 0x05c6...d823 — Yes, $19,222 (51% win rate)
- 0x1e1f...c855 — No, $15,981 (57% win rate)
- 0x54b5...4b31 — No, $10,000 (43% win rate)
- 0x1181...9e90 — No, $10,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x0362...449e — Yes, $10,000
- 0x6139...6b7a — No, $8,043 (70% win rate)
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — No, $6,264 (69% win rate)
Related Theses
Major party wins presidency
Covers 2 related markets
