Part of: FL-25 Republican Primary Winner

Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,374.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, House Primary, Florida Primary, primary elections, Republican Primary, August 18 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into Yes

A serial cross-market trader added $3.2K to an already large Yes position in an extremely thin market, though their historical record does not show a clear edge.

This trader added $3,182 to an existing $17,700 Yes position, signaling increased conviction.
The bet represented nearly 147% of recent 24-hour volume in a market with only about $26 of liquidity.
The wallet has traded across 59 events and 72 markets, but its 65% win rate at a 77¢ average winning price is not clearly superior.

$3,182 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Serial trader scales into thin market

A serial cross-market trader made a very large fresh addition to an illiquid Scott Singer position, driving upward pressure despite only a modest historical edge.

The $2,192 purchase was nearly 19 times the market’s 24-hour volume and exceeded its available liquidity.
This bettor has traded 107 markets across 98 events, with 912 wins from 1,285 resolved bets and $28,956 lifetime profit.
The wallet is adding to an existing Yes position around 82¢ as the market has risen 16% over the past week.

$2,192 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0x9648...6825 — Outcome 31269024, $12,333 (70% win rate)
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 31269024, $7,272 (73% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 31269024, $2,368
0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 31269024, $243 (75% win rate)
0x3080...337b — Outcome 31269024, $200
0x52eb...67ac — Outcome 31269024, $189 (79% win rate)
0x0781...c4ff — Outcome 31269024, $120
0x815a...af37 — Outcome 31269024, $68
0x897a...4194 — Outcome 31269024, $52
0xfab1...f0cc — Outcome 31269024, $50

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Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?

ResolvedFL-25 Republican Primary Winner$5,374 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesdeprec USA ElectionHouse PrimaryFlorida Primaryprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”

88¢

78¢

67¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction