This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $46.6k lifetime. They are taking the contrarian No side after Yes jumped 18 points in the past day. Entry at 25¢ implies a 4x payout if Australia misses the top 5.

Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,882.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought Yes at 82¢ amid strong upward momentum, though the stake is modest for this liquid market.

This bettor has a huge track record: 22,320 resolved bets, 70% winners, and $163K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1M deployed across 280 events.
Australia’s top-5 odds have jumped 33 points this week, and this buy adds with the trend at 82¢.

$1,153 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

82% winner buying No

Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and +$46.6k lifetime P&L is buying No against a market that has recently moved strongly toward Yes.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $46.6k lifetime.
They are taking the contrarian No side after Yes jumped 18 points in the past day.
Entry at 25¢ implies a 4x payout if Australia misses the top 5.

$1,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Fresh wallet momentum bet

A brand-new wallet made a meaningful first bet on Australia top-5 Eurovision amid strong recent upward price momentum, suggesting fresh conviction despite no track record.

A wallet created 11 minutes earlier put $1.3K on Yes as its first notable position.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 18.5 points today and 22.5 points this week.
The bet was made at 79¢, implying confidence despite the current price sitting slightly lower at 76¢.

$1,300 on Yes

Top Holders

0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 97742771, $5,000 (47% win rate)
0x20f7...5527 — Outcome 97742771, $2,000 (92% win rate)
0xc0e4...80be — Outcome 97742771, $1,376
0x41f0...3eeb — Outcome 97742771, $938 (60% win rate)
0xd7ad...4953 — Outcome 97742771, $919 (41% win rate)
0x2c61...ac8b — Outcome 97742771, $800
0xa535...9e5e — Outcome 97742771, $441
0x668d...97d2 — Outcome 97742771, $304
0x1d19...ec07 — Outcome 97742771, $244
0xf2ae...e54b — Outcome 97742771, $126

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Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 5$3,882 tracked3 signalsCultureMusicAwardsEurovision

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.