Part of: Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether YMTC will be fully removed from the U.S. list of Chinese Military Companies by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 p.m. ET. PolySpotter tracks $11,366 in smart money across one signal, with a recent 97% bettor position scaling into “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $11,366.

Categories: AI, Tech, list, China, Trump, Alibaba, military, Geopolitics, AI Regulation, United States, USA, Big Tech

Notable Trades

97% bettor scaling into No

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large No position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved positions and is up $3,447, buying at average odds of just 29%.
  • They committed roughly $5,800 to No at 84¢ in a market with only $221 of 24-hour volume.
  • The market has since moved to 92¢ for No, reinforcing the bettor's direction despite the position's thin liquidity.

$11,366 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2016...6dae No, $539 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xfe41...9f23 No, $432
  3. 0x8bc8...97dc No, $350
  4. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $312
  5. 0x1e52...91d6 Yes, $300
  6. 0xdf0e...c02b Yes, $216
  7. 0xc602...7fc1 Yes, $201 (43% win rate)
  8. 0xc3cd...816c Yes, $200
  9. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $200 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xe8fc...0d3b Yes, $80

Related Theses

YMTC and Tencent remain listed

Covers 2 related markets

Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

292dWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$11,366 tracked1 signalAITechlistChinaTrumpAlibabamilitaryGeopoliticsAI RegulationUnited StatesUSABig Tech
Yes
12¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

Price History — “No
90¢
88¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

11d ago

$11,366 on No at 84¢

84¢89¢5¢

Related Theses