Part of: Weed rescheduled by...?

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,408.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Culture, Cannabis, Marijuana

Notable Trades

Profitable trader flips to No

A profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped to No on this marijuana rescheduling market as No surged to 89¢, suggesting a deliberate thesis change worth tracking.

  • This bettor has 846 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $270k overall.
  • They previously closed a Yes position and just opened a fresh No buy at 89¢, showing a clear change in view.
  • The trade came during a fast 20-point move in No, which suggests conviction rather than routine activity.

$1,245 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Repeat new wallet buyer

A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this market and this latest trade helped drive a sharp move, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $7.5k flagged total
  • This trade is effectively a buy of Yes at 11¢, a low-price bet on a big policy surprise
  • The order came during a fast 20.5-point move, showing conviction strong enough to move the market

$1,570 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

85% winner buys No

A high-win-rate wallet with 511 resolved bets bought No at 86¢ as the market snapped sharply in that direction, suggesting informed conviction despite only a modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 511 resolved bets and is up $374k lifetime
  • They bought $8.6k of No at 86¢ as the market moved 20.5 points that way in about 4 minutes
  • Entry at 86¢ shows a high-confidence view in a government process market where information can matter

$8,594 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd71...d127 No, $12,269 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x8d14...4987 Yes, $7,631
  3. 0xdaef...54e9 No, $5,752 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x030a...acfc No, $2,929 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x92e5...efee No, $2,221 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x2b5a...2e45 Yes, $1,996
  7. 0xcb14...5358 No, $1,868
  8. 0x28ca...ae90 Yes, $1,826
  9. 0xaf37...6589 Yes, $1,250
  10. 0x1d60...453d Yes, $1,173 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

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Weed rescheduled by June 30?

ResolvedWeed rescheduled by...?$11,408 tracked3 signalsPoliticsTrumpCultureCannabisMarijuana
Yes
3¢
No
97¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No
99¢
97¢
94¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

20d ago

$1,245 on No at 89¢

89¢97¢8¢

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

20d ago

$1,570 on Yes at 11¢

11¢3¢8¢

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

21d ago

$8,594 on No at 86¢

86¢97¢11¢

Related Theses