Part of: Weed rescheduled by...?
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,408.
Categories: Politics, Trump, Culture, Cannabis, Marijuana
Notable Trades
Profitable trader flips to No
A profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped to No on this marijuana rescheduling market as No surged to 89¢, suggesting a deliberate thesis change worth tracking.
- This bettor has 846 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $270k overall.
- They previously closed a Yes position and just opened a fresh No buy at 89¢, showing a clear change in view.
- The trade came during a fast 20-point move in No, which suggests conviction rather than routine activity.
$1,245 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Repeat new wallet buyer
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this market and this latest trade helped drive a sharp move, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $7.5k flagged total
- This trade is effectively a buy of Yes at 11¢, a low-price bet on a big policy surprise
- The order came during a fast 20.5-point move, showing conviction strong enough to move the market
$1,570 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
85% winner buys No
A high-win-rate wallet with 511 resolved bets bought No at 86¢ as the market snapped sharply in that direction, suggesting informed conviction despite only a modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 511 resolved bets and is up $374k lifetime
- They bought $8.6k of No at 86¢ as the market moved 20.5 points that way in about 4 minutes
- Entry at 86¢ shows a high-confidence view in a government process market where information can matter
$8,594 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xcd71...d127 — No, $12,269 (85% win rate)
- 0x8d14...4987 — Yes, $7,631
- 0xdaef...54e9 — No, $5,752 (64% win rate)
- 0x030a...acfc — No, $2,929 (57% win rate)
- 0x92e5...efee — No, $2,221 (55% win rate)
- 0x2b5a...2e45 — Yes, $1,996
- 0xcb14...5358 — No, $1,868
- 0x28ca...ae90 — Yes, $1,826
- 0xaf37...6589 — Yes, $1,250
- 0x1d60...453d — Yes, $1,173 (61% win rate)
Related Theses
US Iran peace deal imminent
Covers 2 related markets
