Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will print a 1-minute candle high of $750 or above during regular U.S. trading hours in May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with final resolution scheduled for June 1, 2026, and only regular-session prices count. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,634 in smart money activity and 1 signal on this market, including activity from a profitable serial SPY trader.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,634.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial SPY trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying Yes across related SPY high markets, and this entry has already moved favorably amid strong price momentum.
- This bettor is up $57,087 lifetime across over $5.2M traded and has won 64% of 514 resolved bets.
- They have a long cross-market pattern: 33 events, 41 markets, and $328k in similar event trades.
- Bought Yes at 59¢ while the market has already moved to about 66¢, with Yes up 20 points today.
$1,634 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x4901...cc02 — No, $4,063
- 0x264c...baca — Yes, $2,784 (64% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $2,360 (47% win rate)
- 0x46f1...701f — Yes, $2,169 (36% win rate)
- 0x1543...baaf — Yes, $1,014 (47% win rate)
- 0x9d73...216b — Yes, $1,002 (75% win rate)
- 0x9afc...0b6f — Yes, $384
- 0xd6a8...58fd — No, $309
- 0x38d8...ea7c — No, $270 (44% win rate)
- 0x249b...5df1 — No, $265
Related Theses
SPY avoids 730 crash
Covers 1 related market
SPY rallies to 750
Covers 3 related markets
