What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
16 signals across 6 markets · $29,736 tracked · resolves Jun 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the S&P 500 ETF, SPY, will hit $700 during May 2026. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s odds, trading activity, and smart money signals, including a recent alert that an 83% winner flipped to Yes.
Markets (6)
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?3 signals · $9,080 tracked
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?5 signals · $7,289 tracked
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?3 signals · $5,610 tracked
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?3 signals · $4,312 tracked
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?1 signal · $2,043 tracked
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?1 signal · $1,402 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Yes position in a thin SPY May level market after No moved sharply higher.
$1,027Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 8.5 - Cross-market SPY momentum
High composite score driven by a massive market-wide volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has only a breakeven track record.
$1,625Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 8.2 - Serial cross-market SPY bettor
A serial cross-market SPY trader bought $4.5k of No, part of a $17.4k position across four related markets, with enough size to move a thinner book despite the wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
$4,456Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes around 14¢ on a thin SPY level market after placing $9.6k across related markets.
$2,406Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial macro trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering a SPY upside market after betting across multiple related markets, though this individual trade is modest in size.
$1,052Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.5 - Profitable cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Yes position across related SPY level markets in a relatively thin, wide-spread book.
$1,379Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market history is buying No as part of a 3-market SPY May ladder thesis, with the trade large relative to recent volume.
$1,884Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on a SPY May 2026 level market, with the position already moving from 56¢ to about 66¢.
$1,447Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.0 - Profitable cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes at 40¢ on a quiet SPY May 2026 level market after positioning across related markets.
$1,722Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.0 - Profitable cross-market regular
Experienced cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying No on a quiet SPY level market, but the trade size and signals are moderate.
$1,064Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x264cbb…baca$20,210 · 4 markets · 12 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x78048a…7025$4,456 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x131c8d…6816$2,043 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x46f156…701f$1,625 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xb7ef58…812c$1,402 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the odds SPY hits $700 in May 2026?
The market price on Polymarket reflects the current implied odds that SPY will touch $700 at some point in May 2026. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see whether experienced traders are leaning Yes or No.
What does this SPY prediction market cover?
This event covers the outcome of whether S&P 500 ETF SPY hits the $700 level during May 2026. It is focused on a price-touch condition, meaning the question is whether SPY reaches that level at any time during the specified month.
What is smart money doing in the SPY $700 May 2026 market?
PolySpotter currently tracks about $1,402 in smart money activity across this event, with one notable signal. A recent alert showed an 83% winner flipping to Yes, suggesting at least one historically successful trader moved toward the view that SPY could hit $700.
When does the SPY May 2026 $700 market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 1, 2026 at 03:59:59 UTC. Resolution depends on whether SPY hits the specified $700 price level during May 2026 according to the market’s rules and data source.
How should I use Polymarket odds for SPY hitting $700?
Polymarket odds can help you see how traders are pricing the probability of SPY reaching $700, but they are not financial advice. Many users watch both the market price and smart money alerts to understand how sentiment is changing over time.