Part of: Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,016.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries

Notable Trades

Profitable politics bettor fades spike

Profitable high-sample political bettor made a large No buy that exceeded daily market volume on a thin California governor primary market after a major price move.

  • This bettor has 445 resolved trades, wins 66%, and is up $2.3k lifetime.
  • The $1.0k No buy was larger than the entire 24h volume in a thin market with only $1.7k liquidity.
  • They are fading a sharp Yes move of about 51 points, buying No at 82¢ while the current No price is 48¢.

$1,016 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb79f...d749 — Outcome 66225360, $363
  2. 0x215a...254c — Outcome 66225360, $193
  3. 0xcc6f...4987 — Outcome 66225360, $161
  4. 0x23ed...aebc — Outcome 66225360, $155
  5. 0x2bef...3afd — Outcome 66225360, $100
  6. 0xcaf6...5c89 — Outcome 66225360, $100
  7. 0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 66225360, $30
  8. 0xf0b0...8cab — Outcome 66225360, $30
  9. 0x5bca...a34e — Outcome 66225360, $18
  10. 0x26aa...9d4d — Outcome 66225360, $10

Related Theses

Rab and Grasty fall short

Covers 2 related markets

Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

ResolvedWho will advance from the California Governor primary?$1,016 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimaries

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Notable Trades

Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

68d ago

$1,016 on No at 82¢

Related Theses

Rab and Grasty fall short
Wallet_0x55291 trades 2 related markets
Will Raji Rab advance from the…Will Derek Grasty advance from…