Part of: Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Israel and Syria will hold a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves Yes if authorized representatives of both governments deliberately meet for diplomacy or negotiation; otherwise, it resolves No. PolySpotter tracks $2,144 in smart money across one signal, including recent No bets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Israel and Syria by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location. Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries separately held alongside such a convening. The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments. The occurrence of a qualifying meeting must be confirmed by the resolution sources by the resolution date. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Syria and a consensus of credible reporting.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,825.

Categories: Syria, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East

Notable Trades

New wallet makes thin-market No bet

A brand-new wallet placed a large No bet in an extremely illiquid market, creating a notable high-conviction trade despite having no track record.

  • A wallet just 13 minutes old committed $2,144 to No, a large position relative to the market’s $440 liquidity.
  • The trade entered at 72¢ in a market with a 49-point bid-ask spread, suggesting unusually strong conviction or information.
  • There is no resolved betting history yet, so the wallet’s edge remains unproven.

$2,144 on No

New whale scaling into No

A brand-new wallet made a large No bet in an extremely thin, wide-spread diplomatic market, though it has no proven track record.

  • A wallet only two hours old committed $1,681 to No across a thin market with just $526 liquidity.
  • The trade represented roughly 42 times the flagged $40 in 24-hour activity and entered at 73¢.
  • There is no resolved-position history yet, so the conviction signal is stronger than the evidence of bettor skill.

$1,681 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x02f0...ebc1 No, $125
  2. 0x79a8...bb66 No, $115
  3. 0xdf90...41f0 Yes, $115 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x45e6...c078 Yes, $36
  5. 0xe54b...aa14 No, $35 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x7558...970a No, $32
  7. 0xad53...ef24 Yes, $32
  8. 0x489a...fff2 Yes, $30
  9. 0x66c1...2c72 Yes, $25
  10. 0x7438...b741 Yes, $23

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

50dIsrael x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?$3,825 tracked2 signalsSyriaIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East
Yes
27¢
No
73¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Israel and Syria by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location. Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries separately held alongside such a convening. The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments. The occurrence of a qualifying meeting must be confirmed by the resolution sources by the resolution date. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Syria and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
81¢
65¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

6d ago

$2,144 on No at 72¢

72¢73¢1¢

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

9d ago

$1,681 on No at 73¢

73¢73¢