Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,883.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

Sharp AI-release bettor

Sharp wallet with an 85% record and positive lifetime P&L is adding to a broader six-market AI-release thesis on GPT-5.6 Yes.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $15.6K lifetime.
  • They have $10.5K positioned across 6 related AI-release markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Entry at 82¢ beat the current 85¢ market, and odds are up 7 points in the past day.

$1,883 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2e8e...5b53 — No, $2,750
  2. 0x3879...d8c3 — No, $1,000
  3. 0x56c2...6219 — No, $1,000
  4. 0x9384...45e0 — No, $1,000
  5. 0xc28d...1773 — No, $810 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x7c40...3d64 — No, $500
  7. 0x134b...b4d2 — No, $410
  8. 0xdacf...3c74 — No, $311 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x3302...79c0 — No, $300
  10. 0x126e...c360 — No, $286

Related Theses

GPT-5.6 misses June deadline

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 launches by July 8

Covers 6 related markets

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

GPT-5.6 released by...?$1,883 tracked1 signalAIOpenAITechgpt
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

2026-07-01 01:12 UTC

$1,883 on Yes at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Related Theses