GPT-5.6 released by...?
24 signals across 10 markets · $59,729 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether OpenAI makes a GPT-5.6 model—or a direct successor such as GPT-5.7 or GPT-5.8—available to the public by the specified deadline. PolySpotter has tracked $4,547 in smart money activity so far, with the early sharp signal leaning toward No.
Markets (10)
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?2 signals · $16,659 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?5 signals · $11,097 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?4 signals · $6,773 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?2 signals · $6,440 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?2 signals · $5,947 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?4 signals · $4,933 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?2 signals · $3,267 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?1 signal · $1,883 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?1 signal · $1,451 tracked
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?1 signal · $1,279 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 85% AI-release bettor
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Yes across multiple related GPT release markets amid upward price momentum.
$4,239Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - Sharp AI-release bettor
Sharp wallet with an 85% record and positive lifetime P&L is adding to a broader six-market AI-release thesis on GPT-5.6 Yes.
$1,883Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - Profitable AI-release specialist
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is adding to a broader six-market AI release thesis.
$1,016Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - New AI-release whale
Very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets, now buying Yes on a relatively quiet AI-release market despite recent price weakness.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.5 - Sharp cross-market AI bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% record is building a broader cross-market thesis and bought Yes at 33¢ before the market moved to 42¢.
$1,279Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - Sharp AI-release bettor
Sharp wallet with 85% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding a Yes position as part of a broader GPT release thesis.
$2,201Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.0 - Sharp AI bettor flips No
Sharp wallet with an 85% win record and positive lifetime P&L flipped from a prior Yes position to buying No across related GPT release markets.
$2,228Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.0 - Sharp AI bettor flips No
Sharp wallet with an 85% win record and positive lifetime P&L flipped from a prior Yes position to buying No across related GPT release markets.
$1,486Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.0 - Profitable AI contrarian
A profitable 80% winner is taking a contrarian No position across related GPT release markets, though the price has moved against their entry.
$1,523Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.5 - New wallet buys momentum
A brand-new wallet made a meaningful Yes bet on a thin AI-release market with strong 24h upward momentum, but there is no proven track record yet.
$1,451Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x169527…2842$10,618 · 4 markets · 5 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xdacf9f…3c74$8,919 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x0dba10…71e9$8,261 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xb9df98…e654$7,740 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x674823…151b$6,611 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x005585…de40$5,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xcdb1f1…276c$2,283 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x993f45…3ee3$2,251 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x76aaa2…c4f4$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x876bb0…1703$1,451 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
FAQs
What are the GPT-5.6 release odds on Polymarket?
The market prices the probability that OpenAI publicly releases GPT-5.6, or a qualifying direct successor, by June 8, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live odds and highlights notable smart money activity as it happens.
What is the smart money doing on the GPT-5.6 market?
The only tracked smart money signal so far is early sharp buying on No, with $4,547 in smart money activity across the event. That suggests at least one notable trader is skeptical of a qualifying release by the deadline.
What counts as a Yes resolution for GPT-5.6?
Yes requires OpenAI to make a model explicitly named GPT-5.6 available to the general public, or a direct successor to GPT-5.5 such as GPT-5.7 or GPT-5.8. Task-specialized releases may not qualify unless they meet the market’s stated criteria.
When does the GPT-5.6 release market resolve?
The child market asks whether GPT-5.6 is released by June 8, 2026. The event page lists a final resolution date of July 31, 2026, allowing time for the outcome to be confirmed.