Part of: Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,189.
Categories: Politics, Ukraine, Ukraine Map, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor exits Yes
A proven profitable wallet sold its Yes stake, converting to a No view at 28¢, though the trade appears to be an exit from an existing position rather than a fresh short.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $17.2k lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 72¢, which converts to buying No at 28¢.
- This looks like a sharp exit from an existing Yes position, not a brand-new bet.
$2,676 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp thin-market war bettor
Sharp profitable wallet made a large Yes bet on a very thin Ukraine-war map market, though the recorded 68¢ entry is far above the current 6¢ price and should be treated cautiously.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $17,022 lifetime.
- The $2.5k Yes buy was over 10x this market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction move in a thin order book.
- Entry was recorded at 68¢ while Yes now trades near 6¢, so the signal is notable but the price data looks unusual.
$2,514 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa66e...b2b6 — Outcome 11004586, $1,840 (75% win rate)
- 0xef95...88c0 — Outcome 11004586, $1,023
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 11004586, $80
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 11004586, $50
- 0xeab7...b389 — Outcome 11004586, $50
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 11004586, $30
- 0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 11004586, $22
- 0x4916...f56f — Outcome 11004586, $15
- 0x26aa...9d4d — Outcome 11004586, $10
- 0xba17...92b4 — Outcome 11004586, $10
