Part of: Hockey: 2026 IIHF Championship Winner
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
This prediction market asks whether Finland will win the 2026 IIHF World Championship hockey tournament. It resolves to Yes if Finland is declared champion, and to No if Finland is eliminated or another team wins; the listed resolution date is May 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $9,122 in smart money activity, including 1 recent signal from a profitable or whale bettor in a thin order book.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 IIHF World Championship hockey tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,531.
Categories: NHL, ice hockey, Sports, IIHF, Hockey, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
New whale sweeping thin book
A repeat new wallet put $9.1k into a very thin long-dated hockey market, sweeping the book and causing a large price move, but it has no proven winning record yet.
- A new wallet has now made repeat large bets, putting $9.1k on Finland in a market with only about $1.4k liquidity.
- This buying drove a sharp move in a thin order book, with Finland up about 10 points over the past week.
- Track record is still unproven: the wallet is 3-for-5 on resolved bets and roughly flat-to-negative lifetime.
$9,122 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable bettor in thin book
A profitable high-volume wallet made a $4.4k No bet that was over 3x the market's 24h volume on a thin Finland IIHF futures book.
- This experienced bettor is up $116.9k across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
- Their $4.4k No bet was 341% of the market’s entire 24h volume.
- The thin order book means a bet this size likely reflects real conviction.
$4,409 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $34,810
- 0x9ccc...e7e8 — Yes, $5,229
- 0xdafc...b670 — Yes, $4,569 (60% win rate)
- 0xb93c...a559 — Yes, $2,700
- 0x33bc...37dc — Yes, $2,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xe725...e5b9 — Yes, $1,894
- 0xec4e...8bf0 — Yes, $1,886
- 0xc031...6f6b — Yes, $1,111
- 0x3690...e16f — Yes, $1,094
- 0x0a86...5664 — Yes, $1,078
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