Part of: Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner

Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,707.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, US Election, Governor Primary, Wisconsin Primary, primary elections, Democratic Primary, August 11 Primaries

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into No

A serial cross-market trader added nearly $3,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling increased conviction despite a modest overall win rate.

Added $2,952 to an existing No position, bringing total investment on this outcome above $8,500.
The trade was nearly 10 times the detected 24-hour volume in a market with only $1,067 liquidity.
This wallet has traded across 68 markets and is up $275,412, though its 65% win rate is not exceptionally sharp relative to its 78¢ average winning entry.

$2,952 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Serial bettor adds to No

A serial cross-market trader deployed $4,756 in an extremely thin market and added to an existing No position, though the 71% record does not clearly show a pricing edge.

The bettor put $4,756 into a market with only $299 in 24-hour volume, making this a highly concentrated position.
This wallet has traded across 95 events with 1,261 resolved bets and a 71% win rate.
The No purchase adds to an existing $4,124 No position, signaling increased conviction despite the market’s very wide spread.

$4,756 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 17367049, $11,870
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32479789, $7,560
0x6348...4a0d — Outcome 17367049, $470
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 17367049, $240
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 17367049, $100
0x367c...da98 — Outcome 17367049, $64
0x63bd...aff2 — Outcome 17367049, $53
0x914b...e406 — Outcome 17367049, $51
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 17367049, $50
0xfab1...f0cc — Outcome 17367049, $50

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Either Shaheen or Sullivan wins nomination

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Washington Nationals will defeat Athletics

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El-Sayed wins Michigan primary

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Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

ResolvedWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner$7,707 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesUS ElectionGovernor PrimaryWisconsin Primaryprimary electionsDemocratic PrimaryAugust 11 Primaries

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.