Part of: Ottaviano Mayoral Election Winner

Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,018.

Categories: Elections, Politics, Global Elections, Italy, Italian Mayoral, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Notable Trades

Quiet-market conviction buy

A single $5k Yes buy dwarfs the market’s normal activity in a niche, low-volume local election, suggesting informed conviction despite no elite wallet track record.

  • This $5k buy was almost 6x the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • The bettor paid 89¢ in a niche local election market where informed local knowledge could matter.
  • The wallet is up $65k lifetime across 822 resolved markets, though its win rate is only 42%.

$5,018 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 24008902, $5,953
  2. 0x6f67...102c Outcome 24008902, $1,088
  3. 0xe29f...269b Outcome 24008902, $1,016
  4. 0xf5e4...471a Outcome 24008902, $612
  5. 0xdbba...e651 Outcome 24008902, $405
  6. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 24008902, $366
  7. 0xb41e...11fd Outcome 24008902, $108
  8. 0x43fd...59d3 Outcome 24008902, $100
  9. 0x0739...aba8 Outcome 24008902, $62
  10. 0x965c...ec2b Outcome 24008902, $34

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Maranata loses, Zucco or Brizola wins

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Philippe or Bardella wins

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Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

ResolvedOttaviano Mayoral Election Winner$5,018 tracked1 signalElectionsPoliticsGlobal ElectionsItalyItalian MayoralRewards 50, 4.5, 20

The 2026 Ottaviano, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottaviano as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottaviano.

Notable Trades

Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

47d ago

$5,018 on Yes at 89¢

Related Theses