Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $145,343.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
90% crypto bettor cluster
Sharp 90% lifetime winner is buying No, backed by linked-wallet and cross-market positioning despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $3,830 on $133k invested.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder and have appeared together in prior runs.
- The wallet is positioned across 3 related Bitcoin markets with $10.3k total exposure.
$1,351 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader is re-entering No on a BTC dip market while also positioning across several related markets.
- This bettor is up $509k lifetime across nearly $19.8M traded.
- They have traded 99 markets across 69 crypto events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They are backing No at 90¢, betting Bitcoin stays above $70,000 through May.
$2,820 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable BTC cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume crypto trader is re-entering No and has a broader cross-market position across related Bitcoin dip markets.
- This trader is up $509K lifetime across 1,594 resolved bets.
- They are active across 5 related markets with $35.6K positioned on the same event.
- They previously held a larger No position at 75¢ and are now re-entering at 86¢.
$3,104 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume crypto bettor is re-entering a No position near month-end, with correlated cross-market positioning and a 38x volume spike supporting the thesis.
- This bettor has won 60% of 1,594 resolved bets and is up about $510k lifetime.
- They have built a $40.8k thesis across 5 related markets, all around the same Bitcoin event.
- Volume is running 38x above normal, and buying No at 86¢ suggests confidence Bitcoin avoids $70k through month-end.
$4,210 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial crypto trader
A profitable serial crypto-market trader is adding a conservative No position amid a 37.9x volume spike and broader cross-market positioning.
- This bettor has traded 2,508 resolved markets, wins 59% of them, and is up about $289K lifetime.
- They are active across 7 related markets with about $90K positioned, suggesting a broader Bitcoin thesis.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 37.9x above its historical average.
$4,271 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable crypto thesis trader
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader is effectively buying Yes on a BTC dip market after odds moved sharply higher this week.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,062 resolved trades and is up $246k lifetime.
- They repeatedly build cross-market theses, with 57 events and $1.54M traded in this pattern.
- They are effectively buying Yes around 19¢ while the market has moved up 11.7 points in the past day.
$1,204 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp crypto dip bettor
Sharp wallet with 80% wins and strong positive P&L is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ on a Bitcoin dip market with strong recent momentum toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $5.2K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after the market moved 16 points toward Yes in the past day.
- Their average winning entry is just 20¢, suggesting a track record of finding underpriced long shots.
$1,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable crypto cluster buying Yes
Three profitable wallets are aligned on Yes amid a sharp volume spike, cross-market crypto positioning, and a 16-point one-day move toward Yes.
- Three wallets put $8.4k on Yes, including bettors who win 87% and 76% of resolved trades.
- One wallet has traded 6 related markets with $83k total, suggesting a broader Bitcoin downside thesis.
- Market activity is heating up: volume is 21x normal and Yes is up 16 points in the past day.
$8,414 on Yes
Profitable BTC cross-market regular
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader is buying No as part of a broader $32.5k Bitcoin dip-level thesis.
- This bettor is up $425k across 1,586 resolved trades.
- They are betting across 4 related Bitcoin markets with $32.5k total exposure.
- This No entry was around 86¢ and has already moved to about 90¢.
$1,401 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No on a BTC dip market as part of a larger multi-market thesis.
- This wallet is up $425K lifetime across 1,586 resolved bets.
- They have traded 98 markets across 69 related events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- This No buy is part of $35.6K positioned across four related BTC markets.
$4,452 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
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