Part of: FL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?
This prediction market tracks whether Keith Gross will become the Republican nominee for Florida’s 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. The market resolves after the Republican primary on August 18, 2026, or to “Other” if no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,018.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, House Primary, Florida Primary, primary elections, Republican Primary, August 18 Primaries, US Election
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin market at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 75% of 16 resolved trades while buying at an average 42% implied price, with $56,445 in realized profit.
- The $1,018 purchase was made at 61¢ in a thin market and represented roughly the entire detected 24-hour volume.
- They are adding to an existing $3,279 Yes position, signaling continued conviction that Keith Gross wins the nomination.
$1,018 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xa2dc...49f9 — Yes, $3,279 (75% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $809
- 0x8728...0882 — No, $747 (43% win rate)
- 0x39a5...87f2 — No, $607 (78% win rate)
- 0x4d1d...01ac — No, $588 (65% win rate)
- 0xb477...673e — Yes, $303
- 0xb1ca...1705 — No, $270 (58% win rate)
- 0xad53...ef24 — No, $111
- 0x30fb...7db4 — No, $109
- 0x38e5...95e7 — No, $91 (76% win rate)
