Part of: Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,799.
Categories: Politics, Orban, Hungary, Magyar
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable, highly experienced cross-market trader put a sizable $6.1k bet on No in a relatively quiet political market.
- This bettor has 1,110 resolved trades and is up $268k lifetime.
- They have traded across 70 events with a 67% win rate, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- The $6.1k No buy was nearly a full day’s recent volume, showing meaningful conviction.
$6,137 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate is buying No on a plausible political market at 68¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 172 resolved trades and is up $61.7K lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events and 33 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying No at 68¢ aligns with recent momentum, with Yes down 8.5 points this week.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
79% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 79% resolved win rate bought $5.2k of No despite only a weak alert signal.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $15.9k lifetime.
- They put $5.2k on No at 70¢ in a political market with meaningful liquidity.
- The market has moved toward No over the past week, and this trade adds to that momentum.
$5,165 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
3-wallet Yes cluster
Three wallets are rotating into Yes on a political market, including one bettor with a 9/10 resolved record, though the cluster is modest-sized and currently underwater versus entry.
- Three wallets all took the same Yes side, putting $4.3K behind a resignation/removal thesis.
- One bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets, beating average market odds by about 20 points.
- Their average entry was around 39¢, while Yes is now 32¢, offering a cheaper entry than the cluster paid.
$4,302 on Yes
90% winner buys Yes
A small but proven 90% winner is effectively buying Yes on a Hungary president exit market, despite the alert’s low composite score.
- This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved trades and is profitable so far.
- Selling No at 63¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 37¢, above the current 35¢ market level.
- The market has moved up 11.5 points today, so this trade aligns with fresh momentum.
$2,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
84% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 84% resolved win rate bought $1,000 of No despite only a modest standalone signal.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $2,797 lifetime.
- They bought $1,000 of No at 79¢ on a politics market with credible information edge potential.
- Their track record beats average implied odds by 17 percentage points across 44 resolved bets.
$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
82% winner buying YES
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 82% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite the alert’s weak composite score.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $15k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 35¢ after the market fell 17 points this week.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly before, suggesting this is not a one-off bet.
$1,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
82% winner buying Yes
Sharp-wallet override: despite a weak standalone signal, this wallet has an 82% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, and is effectively buying Yes at 39¢.
- This bettor has won 82% of resolved trades and is up about $15k lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a BUY on Yes at 39¢, against a market that has fallen 12 points in the past day.
- Political resignation markets can reward informed positioning, and this wallet has been flagged 4 times before.
$1,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial political trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,059 resolved bets is buying No on a political market with recent price momentum in that direction.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,059 resolved bets and is up $266K lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $1.48M deployed across 85 related markets.
- The market has moved toward No recently, with Yes down 21.5 points over the past week.
$1,922 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial macro bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying No against a politically sensitive Hungary resignation/removal market.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 1,047 resolved bets, 67% wins, and about $297k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events with over $1.1M in similar activity tracked.
- Buying No at 35¢ is a contrarian position against the market’s 66% Yes price.
$1,319 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x69c9...3b29 — Outcome 64665245, $26,342 (75% win rate)
- 0xeb7a...c291 — Outcome 64665245, $12,105 (78% win rate)
- 0x19f6...68a9 — Outcome 64665245, $11,156 (100% win rate)
- 0x3600...6e19 — Outcome 64665245, $10,273
- 0xfe71...f1fb — Outcome 64665245, $6,644
- 0x0256...2b78 — Outcome 64665245, $6,039 (47% win rate)
- 0x5847...5420 — Outcome 64665245, $5,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x8a4e...1ba4 — Outcome 64665245, $4,515 (45% win rate)
- 0x0731...5194 — Outcome 64665245, $4,309
- 0x9be3...6f52 — Outcome 64665245, $4,000 (100% win rate)
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