Part of: WA-03 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?

This prediction market asks whether the Democratic Party will win Washington’s 3rd congressional district House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. The market resolves based on the party of the winning candidate after the WA-03 race is conclusively called, with Election Day scheduled for November 4, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,362 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,362.

Categories: Nov 4 Elections, Politics, Elections, House Elections, Midterms, Washington Midterm, US Election

Notable Trades

79% serial whale

Surface this because a highly profitable 79% winner with extensive cross-market history bought Yes in a thin WA-03 market and is already ahead from 79¢ to 88¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market trader, with $5.7M deployed across 238 markets.
  • The $1.36K buy was large for this quiet market, equal to 64% of its 24h volume.

$1,362 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xde7b...5f4b Yes, $1,714 (79% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,080
  3. 0x6d57...bfc5 No, $831 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x1cdd...e595 No, $201
  5. 0xe372...eb38 Yes, $150
  6. 0xd8d5...8935 Yes, $100 (73% win rate)
  7. 0xe8c4...ea5c Yes, $53
  8. 0x8db4...9c07 Yes, $50
  9. 0xa5e3...4d7e No, $22 (19% win rate)
  10. 0x57f5...c1c9 No, $18

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Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?

125dWA-03 House Election Winner$1,362 tracked1 signalNov 4 ElectionsPoliticsElectionsHouse ElectionsMidtermsWashington MidtermUS Election
Yes
78¢
No
22¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “Yes
91¢
83¢
75¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?

5d ago

$1,362 on Yes at 79¢

79¢78¢1¢

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