Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran meeting by April 21”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $16,759 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xde7be82% win rate

Total

$16,759

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
    $1,839 @ 33¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
    $2,658 @ 80¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
    $2,335 @ 82¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
    $1,008 @ 28¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $1,615 @ 14¢
  6. 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
    $2,199 @ 16¢
  7. 7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
    $2,715 @ 6¢
  8. 8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $2,389 @ 12¢