Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,947.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

82% winner's AI thesis

Sharp 82% winner with positive P&L is taking a cross-market No position on GPT-5.6 by June 8 despite only moderate trade size.

  • This bettor has won 82% of resolved bets and is up $1,756 lifetime.
  • They have placed $4,272 across 3 related AI-release markets, suggesting a broader No thesis.
  • Buying No at 90¢ is a high-confidence position that GPT-5.6 will not be publicly released by the deadline.

$1,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Early sharp buying No

A small but strong-performing wallet made a $4.5k No bet on a thin, wide-spread AI release market, though the price has since moved against its entry.

  • This bettor has won 7 of 8 resolved bets and is up $4.7k lifetime.
  • They put $4.5k on No in a thin market with only $3.2k of liquidity.
  • The market has moved against them, so the same side may now be available cheaper than their 79¢ entry.

$4,547 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe57f...795e Outcome 81465832, $6,043
  2. 0xc96d...ee46 Outcome 81465832, $3,910
  3. 0x1b46...78bd Outcome 81465832, $3,763 (44% win rate)
  4. 0x9d64...12ab Outcome 81465832, $3,693
  5. 0x536f...ca28 Outcome 81465832, $1,955
  6. 0x702b...afd4 Outcome 81465832, $1,818 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x474e...cf52 Outcome 81465832, $1,652
  8. 0xc019...74e3 Outcome 81465832, $1,392
  9. 0xbbda...8514 Outcome 81465832, $1,107
  10. 0xebc8...08f5 Outcome 81465832, $1,100

Related Theses

GPT-5.6 delayed past July

Covers 4 related markets

GPT-5.6 delayed past June

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

ResolvedGPT-5.6 released by...?$5,947 tracked2 signalsAIOpenAITechgpt

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

46d ago

$1,400 on No at 90¢

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

51d ago

$4,547 on No at 79¢

Related Theses