Part of: Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

This Polymarket market asks whether Tesla and SpaceX will officially announce an acquisition or merger involving either company by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Current odds were not provided in the available metadata; PolySpotter tracks $1,441 in smart money and reports one recent alert indicating a wallet scaling into No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,837.

Categories: Tesla, Elon Musk, SpaceX, Big Tech, Space, Tech

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A historically profitable serial cross-market trader placed a sizeable Yes bet in a market with very low recent volume, though the wallet’s win rate is close to its average winning entry price.

  • This bettor is up $104,926 across 498 resolved bets, with a 72% win rate.
  • The $1,396 Yes buy was about 15 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
  • The trader has positioned across 58 events, though their 72% win rate is close to their 72¢ average winning price.

$1,396 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

New wallet scaling into No

The wallet is adding a sizable No bet in a quiet market, though its limited track record does not establish a clear edge.

  • The wallet bought another $1,441 of No and already holds a substantial No position.
  • The trade is large relative to the market’s $4,062 in 24-hour volume.
  • Its record is still limited: 57% wins across seven resolved bets, so proven edge is unclear.

$1,441 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?$2,837 tracked2 signalsTeslaElon MuskSpaceXBig TechSpaceTech
Yes
67¢
No
34¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
71¢
67¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

2026-10-31 04:26 UTC

$1,396 on Yes at 67¢

67¢→67¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

2026-10-27 06:22 UTC

$1,441 on No at 39¢

39¢→34¢↓5¢

Related Theses