Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,594.
Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into Yes
A 6-day-old repeat large bettor is putting nearly $3.9k on Yes near Eurovision resolution, with the market now cheaper than their average entry.
- This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts, totaling $8.3k in flagged positions.
- The $3.9k buy is large for this book, equal to about 39% of current liquidity.
- Their average entry was about 68¢, while the market is now around 58¢.
$3,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
94% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a 15/16 resolved record and nearly $48k profit is buying Greece Yes despite only moderate signal strength.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $48k lifetime.
- They are adding a $2.7k Yes position at 73¢ on a market with only $29k total volume.
- The wallet has been flagged 17 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.
$2,742 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x94c4...43ca — Yes, $12,898 (74% win rate)
- 0x3045...9c3c — Yes, $8,625 (27% win rate)
- 0xe72b...b0a0 — No, $8,540 (49% win rate)
- 0x087d...b872 — No, $7,203 (52% win rate)
- 0x594e...1c11 — No, $6,326 (79% win rate)
- 0xbab6...50a2 — Yes, $3,823 (69% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — No, $3,662 (82% win rate)
- 0xb046...857c — No, $3,088
- 0xfe98...59b7 — Yes, $3,021 (100% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Yes, $2,947 (70% win rate)
Related Theses
Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls
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Australia or Finland wins
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Greece top ten, others miss
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Poland and Portugal advance
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Greece and Israel top five
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