Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,594.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

New whale scaling into Yes

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor is putting nearly $3.9k on Yes near Eurovision resolution, with the market now cheaper than their average entry.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts, totaling $8.3k in flagged positions.
  • The $3.9k buy is large for this book, equal to about 39% of current liquidity.
  • Their average entry was about 68¢, while the market is now around 58¢.

$3,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with a 15/16 resolved record and nearly $48k profit is buying Greece Yes despite only moderate signal strength.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $48k lifetime.
  • They are adding a $2.7k Yes position at 73¢ on a market with only $29k total volume.
  • The wallet has been flagged 17 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.

$2,742 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x94c4...43ca Outcome 37093177, $12,671 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x3045...9c3c Outcome 37093177, $8,453 (25% win rate)
  3. 0xfe98...59b7 Outcome 37093177, $3,021 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xe5f6...dd1b Outcome 37093177, $2,243
  5. 0x3921...3368 Outcome 37093177, $1,877
  6. 0xcb14...5358 Outcome 37093177, $1,200
  7. 0x629b...995a Outcome 37093177, $1,111 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x4f07...0170 Outcome 37093177, $1,000 (87% win rate)
  9. 0x16b4...592f Outcome 37093177, $784
  10. 0xf84f...5c5c Outcome 37093177, $750

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Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

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Ruiz, Valencia avoid 2026 arrests

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Poland and Portugal advance

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Greece top ten, others miss

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Australia wins Eurovision 2026

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No Iran peace deal

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Greece and Israel top five

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Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 5$6,594 tracked2 signalsCultureMusicAwardsEurovision

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

46d ago

$3,853 on Yes at 68¢

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

51d ago

$2,742 on Yes at 73¢

Related Theses