Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,594.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

New whale scaling into Yes

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor is putting nearly $3.9k on Yes near Eurovision resolution, with the market now cheaper than their average entry.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts, totaling $8.3k in flagged positions.
  • The $3.9k buy is large for this book, equal to about 39% of current liquidity.
  • Their average entry was about 68¢, while the market is now around 58¢.

$3,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with a 15/16 resolved record and nearly $48k profit is buying Greece Yes despite only moderate signal strength.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $48k lifetime.
  • They are adding a $2.7k Yes position at 73¢ on a market with only $29k total volume.
  • The wallet has been flagged 17 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.

$2,742 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0x94c4...43ca Yes, $12,898 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x3045...9c3c Yes, $8,625 (27% win rate)
  3. 0xe72b...b0a0 No, $8,540 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x087d...b872 No, $7,203 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x594e...1c11 No, $6,326 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xbab6...50a2 Yes, $3,823 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x6db9...4ab5 No, $3,662 (82% win rate)
  8. 0xb046...857c No, $3,088
  9. 0xfe98...59b7 Yes, $3,021 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x5b63...11a4 Yes, $2,947 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

Covers 2 related markets

Australia or Finland wins

Covers 3 related markets

Greece top ten, others miss

Covers 3 related markets

Poland and Portugal advance

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Greece and Israel top five

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 5$6,594 tracked2 signalsCultureMusicAwardsEurovision
Yes
57¢
No
43¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes
79¢
66¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

56m ago

$3,853 on Yes at 68¢

68¢57¢11¢

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

4d ago

$2,742 on Yes at 73¢

73¢57¢16¢

Related Theses