Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,080.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market macro bettor
Experienced profitable wallet is building a cross-market bullish tail-risk position on SPY low targets, converting this SELL No into a BUY Yes at 11¢.
- This bettor has 535 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up $51k lifetime.
- They have put $22.9k across 4 related SPY markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, a long-shot bet that SPY touches this low in May.
$3,177 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Serial cross-market SPY bettor
A serial cross-market SPY trader bought $4.5k of No, part of a $17.4k position across four related markets, with enough size to move a thinner book despite the wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
- This wallet has $17.4k positioned across 4 related SPY markets, suggesting a clear May thesis.
- The $4.5k No buy was about half of the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful push in a thinner book.
- No has moved sharply with Yes down 54% this week, matching the direction of this trade.
$4,456 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on a SPY May 2026 level market, with the position already moving from 56¢ to about 66¢.
- This bettor has won 65% of 534 resolved bets and is up $48K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $374K placed across 37 related event groups.
- They bought No at 56¢, and the market has already moved toward them to about 66¢.
$1,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x6f2a...de7d — Outcome 30274450, $1,602
- 0x4127...64da — Outcome 30274450, $1,563
- 0xf58c...d588 — Outcome 30274450, $1,098
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 30274450, $918
- 0x8aaf...7beb — Outcome 30274450, $500
- 0xbcb5...49f6 — Outcome 30274450, $500
- 0x18e6...b54a — Outcome 30274450, $409
- 0xd2e0...21b1 — Outcome 30274450, $352
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 30274450, $237
- 0x204b...8ca3 — Outcome 30274450, $213
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