Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,080.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market macro bettor

Experienced profitable wallet is building a cross-market bullish tail-risk position on SPY low targets, converting this SELL No into a BUY Yes at 11¢.

  • This bettor has 535 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up $51k lifetime.
  • They have put $22.9k across 4 related SPY markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
  • Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, a long-shot bet that SPY touches this low in May.

$3,177 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Serial cross-market SPY bettor

A serial cross-market SPY trader bought $4.5k of No, part of a $17.4k position across four related markets, with enough size to move a thinner book despite the wallet's weak lifetime P&L.

  • This wallet has $17.4k positioned across 4 related SPY markets, suggesting a clear May thesis.
  • The $4.5k No buy was about half of the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful push in a thinner book.
  • No has moved sharply with Yes down 54% this week, matching the direction of this trade.

$4,456 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on a SPY May 2026 level market, with the position already moving from 56¢ to about 66¢.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 534 resolved bets and is up $48K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $374K placed across 37 related event groups.
  • They bought No at 56¢, and the market has already moved toward them to about 66¢.

$1,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6f2a...de7d Outcome 30274450, $1,602
  2. 0x4127...64da Outcome 30274450, $1,563
  3. 0xf58c...d588 Outcome 30274450, $1,098
  4. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 30274450, $918
  5. 0x8aaf...7beb Outcome 30274450, $500
  6. 0xbcb5...49f6 Outcome 30274450, $500
  7. 0x18e6...b54a Outcome 30274450, $409
  8. 0xd2e0...21b1 Outcome 30274450, $352
  9. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 30274450, $237
  10. 0x204b...8ca3 Outcome 30274450, $213

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Knicks Thunder or Spurs win

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Favorites win World Cup

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OpenAI will IPO by 2026

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Bass and Raman advance

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SPY stays above $730

Covers 1 related market

Ronaldo scores at least once

Covers 1 related market

Spencer Pratt wins LA mayor

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SPY stays between 730 and 750

Covers 4 related markets

Spencer Pratt wins first round

Covers 1 related market

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?

ResolvedWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?$9,080 tracked3 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for May 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?

38d ago

$3,177 on Yes at 11¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?

38d ago

$4,456 on No at 85¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?

39d ago

$1,447 on No at 56¢

Related Theses