Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,741.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

90% winner late flip to Yes

A high-volume near-resolution flip into Yes by a 90% lifetime bettor looks worth surfacing despite the meme-like market because the wallet appears to trade real-time count information.

This bettor has won 90% of 960 resolved bets and moved heavily into Yes near the close.
They bought about $4.8k of Yes after first buying No, suggesting a fast flip as the live count changed.
The market jumped hard in the final hour, with Yes now at 94% after being bought as low as 78%.

$6,382 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

6-wallet funded cluster backs No

A profitable wallet tied to a recurring 6-wallet funded cluster flipped from Yes to No on a high-volume Elon tweet-count market, with Yes down about 20 points during the move.

A profitable bettor is flipping sides, closing Yes and buying No after previously backing the range.
The wallet has won 72% of 157 resolved bets and is up about $33.6k lifetime.
Six wallets share the same funder, and Yes dropped about 20 points during this move.

$1,517 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable new wallet flips Yes

A young repeat large-bet wallet with early profitability is flipping into Yes on an ongoing count market with strong recent momentum.

This 24-day-old bettor is already up $16.8K across 9 positions.
They have been flagged 6 times for sizable bets, totaling $24K in notable trades.
The wallet previously closed a No position here and is now buying Yes at 30¢ as the market has risen 30 points this week.

$1,842 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%