Elon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?
4 signals across 2 markets · $11,012 tracked · resolves May 5, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on how many times Elon Musk posts on X between April 28 and May 5, 2026, focusing on tweet-count ranges including 140-159 and 160-179 posts. PolySpotter has tracked $11,012 in smart money activity across the event, with recent signals including a 19-wallet funded cluster, a 6-wallet cluster backing No, and late flips toward Yes from profitable wallets.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 19-wallet funded cluster
High-scoring alert driven by a 19-wallet shared-funder cluster and a new profitable wallet effectively buying Yes on a niche Elon tweet-count range.
$1,271Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 12.0 - 6-wallet funded cluster backs No
A profitable wallet tied to a recurring 6-wallet funded cluster flipped from Yes to No on a high-volume Elon tweet-count market, with Yes down about 20 points during the move.
$1,517Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 9.6 - 90% winner late flip to Yes
A high-volume near-resolution flip into Yes by a 90% lifetime bettor looks worth surfacing despite the meme-like market because the wallet appears to trade real-time count information.
$6,382Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.8 - Profitable new wallet flips Yes
A young repeat large-bet wallet with early profitability is flipping into Yes on an ongoing count market with strong recent momentum.
$1,842Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x21b541…1db6$6,382 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x7c6cf2…1f86$1,842 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xd3179f…025a$1,517 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x2ff354…6f4f$1,271 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Elon Musk's tweet count from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
This event covers multiple tweet-count outcomes, including whether Elon Musk posts 140-159 or 160-179 times during the market window. The live odds reflect how traders are pricing each range as new posting activity and wallet signals come in.
What counts as a tweet in this Elon Musk tweet-count market?
Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk count toward the total. Replies do not count, except for replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker; deleted posts can count if captured before removal.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,012 in smart money activity and 4 signals across the event. Recent alerts include a 19-wallet funded cluster, a 6-wallet cluster backing No, a 90% winner flipping late to Yes, and a profitable new wallet also flipping Yes.
When does the Elon Musk tweet-count market resolve?
The counting window runs from April 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The event is scheduled to resolve by May 5, 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
Where can I track Elon Musk tweet-count prediction market movement?
PolySpotter tracks the Polymarket event hub, including odds across the available tweet-count ranges, smart money signals, wallet clusters, and notable flips by profitable traders.