Part of: Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,400.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

84% win serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Spain to advance at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $2,462 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 67¢ implies they see Spain as more likely than the market’s current 66% price.

$2,200 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 69%

95% winner backs Spain

Elite profitable wallet with a 95% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Spain at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $329K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 97 events with the same 95% win rate, suggesting repeatable edge.
  • Buying Spain at 67¢ means they are backing the favorite despite a very liquid market.

$1,639 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 95%

88% serial sports winner

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and nearly $496k profit is buying Spain to advance despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up about $496k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 37 events and 71 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Spain at 67¢ implies confidence beyond the current 66% market price.

$1,133 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 90%

New profitable underdog bettor

A 9-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat flagged activity is taking a fresh underdog position on Portugal.

  • This 9-day-old wallet is already up $505 and has been flagged twice for larger bets.
  • They bought Portugal at 36¢, backing the underdog against the current 64% Spain price.
  • The bet is modest but meaningful for this market, at about 5% of the past day’s volume.

$1,254 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 67%

Elite serial sports winner

Elite sports bettor with an 80% win rate and $4.4M lifetime profit bought Spain at 65%, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $4.4M lifetime.
  • They have traded 460 related events with $6.2M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 65¢ implies a confident Spain position on a liquid match market.

$4,009 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 81%

New profitable underdog bettor

A 9-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat flagged activity is taking a fresh underdog position on Portugal.

  • This 9-day-old wallet is already up $505 and has been flagged twice for larger bets.
  • They bought Portugal at 36¢, backing the underdog against the current 64% Spain price.
  • The bet is modest but meaningful for this market, at about 5% of the past day’s volume.

$1,666 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 67%

New repeat sports bettor

A 28-day-old repeat large bettor is taking Portugal at 35¢, but the track record is still very limited.

  • This new wallet has already made 8 flagged larger bets totaling $26.7K.
  • The bettor is currently 2-for-2 on resolved markets and slightly profitable.
  • A $2.5K buy at 35¢ backs Portugal as the underdog to advance.

$2,500 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf3c1...a743 Outcome 47781058, $317,776 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xe221...06f6 Outcome 47781058, $277,777 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x0a96...5dab Outcome 47781058, $153,237 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x73bc...46ce Outcome 47781058, $127,550 (61% win rate)
  5. 0xb44e...c2c6 Outcome 47781058, $125,640 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x95f5...779f Outcome 47781058, $123,551
  7. 0xd86e...45ce Outcome 47781058, $112,446 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x0c78...77f1 Outcome 47781058, $112,301 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 47781058, $89,862 (60% win rate)
  10. 0xa6d1...286a Outcome 47781058, $80,085 (81% win rate)

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Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

ResolvedPortugal vs. Spain - More Markets$14,400 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

14d ago

$2,200 on Spain at 67¢

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

14d ago

$1,639 on Spain at 67¢

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

14d ago

$1,133 on Spain at 67¢

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

15d ago

$1,254 on Portugal at 36¢

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

15d ago

$4,009 on Spain at 65¢

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

15d ago

$1,666 on Portugal at 36¢

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

15d ago

$2,500 on Portugal at 35¢

Related Theses