Part of: Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
This market asks whether the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) will win the second-greatest number of seats in Russia’s next State Duma election, scheduled for September 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,610 in smart money activity, including a recent proven bettor buying Yes. The market resolves based on official seat totals, or to “Other” if results are not definitive by September 30, 2027.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,100.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, Elections, Russia Election, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Proven bettor buying Yes
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an 86% resolved win rate, positive lifetime P&L, and made a meaningful Yes bet in a relatively quiet political market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $21k lifetime.
- They bought $2.6k of Yes, equal to more than half of the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 57¢ has already moved to 62¢, suggesting follow-through after the trade.
$2,610 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Proven bettor in thin market
Surface because a proven profitable wallet with an 85% record is making a fresh bet in a very thin political market.
- This bettor has won 85% of 220 resolved trades and is up $21k lifetime.
- They put $1.5k into a market with no 24h volume and only $5.8k liquidity.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they see “No” as materially more likely than the market’s current coin-flip odds.
$1,490 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x5c14...cc49 — Yes, $4,212 (86% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $4,155
- 0x7c8b...69e3 — Yes, $1,486
- 0xfde6...7ed6 — Yes, $994 (67% win rate)
- 0x9cf6...559d — No, $845
- 0x167a...91d5 — No, $796 (62% win rate)
- 0xfffe...1acc — Yes, $510
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $477
- 0x62cf...5826 — No, $466 (64% win rate)
- 0x4518...1cac — No, $400
