Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
This Polymarket tracks whether Dan Cox will win the 2026 Maryland Republican primary for governor. Traders use the market to price his chances ahead of the June 23, 2026 resolution date, making it a live indicator of Maryland GOP primary odds. PolySpotter also tracks $11,068 in smart money across 3 signals tied to this market.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,068.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Republican Primary, Governor Primary, Maryland Primary
Notable Trades
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
A 2-day-old wallet made a $3.5k fresh bet on a nearly inactive Maryland governor primary market, a size large enough to dominate recent volume and signal real conviction.
- A 2-day-old wallet opened a fresh $3.5k position in a market that had only $13 of 24-hour volume
- This single buy was over 260x the market's daily volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a very quiet market
- They bought Yes at 49¢, near even odds, suggesting they think Dan Cox is materially undervalued here
$3,469 on Yes
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
A 2-day-old wallet made a nearly $3.8k buy into an extremely quiet Maryland GOP primary market, taking a meaningful position where almost nobody else is trading.
- A wallet less than 2 days old just bought $3.8k of YES in a market with only $13 of 24-hour volume.
- This single trade was massive for this market and likely reflects real conviction in a very quiet order book.
- The bettor paid 51¢ in a 50/50 market, suggesting they think Dan Cox is meaningfully more likely than the current price implies.
$3,799 on Yes
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
A brand-new wallet from a 17-wallet funded cluster just bought nearly $3.8k of NO into an extremely thin Maryland GOP primary market, a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite no personal track record yet.
- 17 linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting one actor is spreading bets across multiple accounts
- This new wallet is less than 2 days old and immediately put $3.8k into NO
- The trade dwarfed the market’s $13 of 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a very thin market
$3,800 on No
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,087
- 0xe372...eb38 — Yes, $556
- 0x0362...449e — Yes, $500
- 0x7e35...1a6c — Yes, $427
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $340 (45% win rate)
- 0x1f9e...4f1a — Yes, $271
- 0xd6a8...58fd — No, $263
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — No, $110
- 0x976e...ecf3 — No, $103
- 0xac7a...414f — Yes, $88