Part of: Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
This Polymarket market asks whether Digger will earn a Best Picture nomination at the 99th Academy Awards. Current odds are not included in the provided market data; the market resolves based on the official nominations, scheduled to be announced January 21, 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,135.
Categories: Awards, Oscars, Movies, Culture, The Odyssey, Oscars 2027
Notable Trades
Large contrarian bet in a quiet market
A sizable sale of No effectively buys Yes at 22¢, dwarfing the quiet market’s recent volume, though the trader’s record does not establish a strong edge.
- The $1,437 trade effectively buys Yes at 22¢, over 12 times the market’s $113 in 24-hour volume.
- The trader has a large lifetime profit, but their 59% win rate and 88¢ average winning price don’t clearly show an edge here.
$1,437 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable trader adds to thin-market No
A profitable, high-volume trader added over $3,100 to an existing No position in a very quiet, relatively thin market.
- A bettor with 1,626 resolved markets and about $594,000 in reported profit added $3,132 to No.
- The trade was over 60 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, and the trader already held No.
- No was bought at 73¢ and is now priced at 82¢, though nominations are still months away.
$3,132 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial trader adds to No
A highly profitable, experienced trader is adding a substantial No position in a very quiet market, though the wallet’s 59% win rate does not by itself establish a strong edge.
- The trader added about $3,100 to No in a market with just $50 in 24-hour volume, and already held a sizable No position.
- This wallet is up about $594,000 across 1,626 resolved bets, although its 59% win rate is not exceptional on its own.
- The alert also includes a Yes bet in another market from the same event, so the trader’s broader event view is not entirely one-sided.
$6,566 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Related Theses
LeBron returns to Cleveland
Covers 4 related markets
Iran deal by June
Covers 8 related markets
US won’t announce blockade’s end
Covers 10 related markets
Ceasefire arrives in late July
Covers 2 related markets
Pahlavi stays out of Iran
Covers 4 related markets
Iran deal in late May
Covers 6 related markets
Iran deal by year-end, not sooner
Covers 4 related markets
Iran keeps its enriched uranium
Covers 3 related markets
US-Iran talks will be extended
Covers 1 related market
Ceasefire extension announced soon
Covers 2 related markets
