Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal in late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $15,250 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xdf17f54% win rate

Total

$15,250

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
    $3,169 @ 53¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $2,163 @ 45¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $3,858 @ 80¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
    $1,174 @ 65¢
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
    $1,043 @ 58¢
  6. 6US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
    $3,842 @ 90¢
Iran deal in late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter