Cross-Market Thesis

“Ceasefire arrives in late July”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? are correlated outcomes, committing $22,299 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xdf17f60% win rate

Total

$22,299

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $5,500 @ 85¢
  2. 2US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
    $16,800 @ 84¢
Ceasefire arrives in late July — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter