Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,225.

Categories: Orban, Elections, Politics, Hungary, Global Elections, Tisza, Magyar, Fidesz, Rewards 300 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 7-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just bought this outcome at 75¢ before a sharp move to 84%, suggesting aggressive conviction despite having no resolved track record yet.

This 7-day-old wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling about $59k
They bought at 75¢ and the market is now 84¢, so this trade is already well in profit
The move came in a politically relevant market that jumped 67 points in a day

$2,200 on Yes

Proven cross-market winner

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate sold No here, which converts to a fresh Yes buy around 20¢ and is notable despite the modest trade size.

This bettor has won 75% of 1,008 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
They trade across many related markets — 76 events and 110 markets — which suggests a repeatable macro or election edge.
Selling No at 80¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 20¢, a low-price position with clear upside if turnout lands in this bracket.

$1,025 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%