Part of: Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,000.
Categories: Israel, World, Iran, Middle East, Geopolitics, shah, Reza Pahlavi, Iran Regime
Notable Trades
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
A repeat new wallet from a 12-wallet funded cluster put $9,000 into NO, suggesting coordinated conviction across linked accounts rather than a routine single-wallet trade.
- 12 linked wallets share the same funder, a strong sign one actor is spreading a thesis across multiple accounts.
- This wallet is only 15 days old but has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $129,000 flagged in total.
- They bought NO at 88¢, showing a high-conviction view that Pahlavi will not enter Iran by June 30.
$9,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x485a...21cb — Yes, $157,881 (33% win rate)
- 0x5ca7...8195 — Yes, $150,000 (42% win rate)
- 0x0a85...fe9d — Yes, $137,858 (26% win rate)
- 0x2ec6...dce8 — Yes, $65,348
- 0xe42b...8444 — Yes, $60,280 (100% win rate)
- 0x35fe...8509 — Yes, $28,662
- 0x705d...3438 — Yes, $26,904 (73% win rate)
- 0x6c5c...1e71 — Yes, $18,680
- 0x3e3f...36b6 — Yes, $15,557
- 0x6c0d...b7e6 — Yes, $12,615