Part of: Who will Trump meet with in May?
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,843.
Categories: Geopolitics, Politics, Trump
Notable Trades
3-wallet Yes push
Three wallets bought Yes in quick succession on a thin political market, moving odds sharply from the mid-60s to 90%.
- Three wallets all bought Yes, putting $5.2K into a market with only $5.4K liquidity.
- The buying wave moved Yes up about 23 points, from 65¢ on the first fill to 90¢ now.
- Two of the wallets have made over $100K lifetime on Polymarket, adding credibility to the move.
$5,175 on Yes
Profitable wallet chasing Yes breakout
A profitable wallet bought Yes on a thin political meeting market during a sharp move higher, pushing the outcome toward 90%.
- This bettor is up $114K lifetime and bought Yes at 84¢ as the market surged.
- Yes is up 84 percentage points in 24 hours, suggesting a major shift in expectations.
- The market is thin, with only $4K liquidity, so a $1.7K buy shows meaningful conviction.
$1,668 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xcb3b...a2b6 — Outcome 95195334, $986
- 0x8ff2...330f — Outcome 95195334, $936
- 0x3032...99e7 — Outcome 95195334, $500 (88% win rate)
- 0x4e2e...d31d — Outcome 95195334, $404
- 0xec82...6eaa — Outcome 95195334, $142
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 95195334, $100
- 0x49c5...b169 — Outcome 95195334, $87
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 95195334, $50
- 0xeab7...b389 — Outcome 95195334, $50
- 0x9d8b...48c8 — Outcome 95195334, $43
Related Theses
Trump lifts Hormuz blockade
Covers 2 related markets
