Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for the active-month NYMEX Crude Oil futures contract will reach or exceed $115 on any trading day before the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME settlement data, with $3,336 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently identified.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,111.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil thesis bettor

A profitable repeat bettor is building a cross-market crude-oil thesis, buying Yes across this market and five related markets with $16.7k total exposure.

  • This repeat bettor is up about $22k lifetime and is still scaling into a crude-oil move.
  • They have placed $16.7k across 6 related oil markets, suggesting a broader directional thesis.
  • This $3.3k buy swept Yes from 18¢ to the mid-50s in minutes on a relatively thin book.

$3,336 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Cross-market oil bettor

Moderately proven cross-market energy bettor is adding $3.6k to Yes across a related oil event, though lifetime P&L is negative and the market is fairly liquid.

  • This wallet wins 70% of resolved bets across 50 trades, though lifetime profit is negative.
  • They have put $10.1k across 3 related oil markets, showing a consistent Yes thesis.
  • Entry at 57¢ is close to the current 55–56¢ market, so the copy price has not moved far.

$3,611 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable oil-market switcher

A profitable macro bettor is taking a fresh contrarian No position after broader $92.6k cross-market positioning across 8 crude oil markets.

  • This bettor is up $260k lifetime and has traded $92.6k across 8 related crude oil markets.
  • They closed a prior Yes position and are now buying No, suggesting a fresh change in view.
  • Entry at 31¢ bets against the market’s recent Yes momentum, which is up 13% this week.

$1,031 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable oil cross-market trader

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broader crude-oil thesis across 8 related markets, though this specific No buy is modest in size.

  • This wallet is up about $267K lifetime and has traded $7.4M across resolved markets.
  • They have positioned across 8 related crude-oil markets with about $85K total exposure.
  • Buying No at 34¢ is a contrarian bet against oil reaching $115 by June 2026.

$1,549 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable whale across 8 oil markets

Profitable macro bettor is building an $80K cross-market oil thesis, buying Yes after a sharp move toward $115 oil by June 2026.

  • This bettor is up $328K lifetime and has placed $80K across 8 related oil markets.
  • They bought $6.6K of Yes at 84¢, and the market has already moved to 88¢.
  • Yes has surged about 35 points in 24h, matching the trader’s bullish oil thesis.

$6,582 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable oil bull across 8 markets

Profitable wallet is building a broad bullish oil thesis across 8 related markets, with this trade effectively buying Yes as the market has strong recent momentum.

  • This bettor is up $327,934 lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting they make money on larger or better-priced wins.
  • They have $75,649 positioned across 8 related oil markets, pointing to a broader bullish thesis rather than a one-off trade.
  • Selling No at 22¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 78¢, after Yes jumped 22.7 points in the past day.

$2,011 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable new wallet buying breakout

A new but already profitable wallet bought into a breakout oil market, combining early signs of skill with a strong price-momentum signal.

  • This new wallet already has 6 resolved bets, has won 83% of them, and is up $690.
  • The market just broke about 29 points above its prior range, showing strong momentum behind this move.
  • They paid 89¢ for Yes in a market up 16% this week, signaling conviction even after a sharp run.

$1,990 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $76,142 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x4d3e...783b No, $41,049 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x4047...7293 No, $23,297 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xe734...4f0c No, $22,436 (41% win rate)
  5. 0x72a0...c059 No, $19,841 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x436f...2c7f Yes, $12,375 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x5f45...a77a Yes, $11,222 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xc390...2a1f Yes, $9,315
  9. 0x7daf...28f8 Yes, $7,978 (88% win rate)
  10. 0xafc0...5087 Yes, $7,423 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

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WTI spikes sharply in May

Covers 7 related markets

Crude swings wildly by June

Covers 9 related markets

WTI swings wildly in May

Covers 12 related markets

Oil spikes above $120

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

48dWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$20,111 tracked7 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
53¢
No
47¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “Yes
61¢
50¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

1d ago

$3,336 on Yes at 33¢

33¢53¢20¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

2d ago

$3,611 on Yes at 57¢

57¢53¢4¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

7d ago

$1,031 on No at 31¢

31¢47¢16¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

11d ago

$1,549 on No at 34¢

34¢47¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

13d ago

$6,582 on Yes at 84¢

84¢53¢31¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

13d ago

$2,011 on Yes at 78¢

78¢53¢25¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

37d ago

$1,990 on Yes at 89¢

89¢53¢36¢

Related Theses