Cross-Market Thesis

Iran keeps airspace open

This trader is expressing a view that Iran closes its airspace by May 21?, Iran closes its airspace by May 31?, Iran closes its airspace by May 15? are correlated outcomes, committing $19,030 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
    $10,000 @ 90¢
  2. 2Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
    $4,000 @ 74¢
  3. 3Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
    $5,030 @ 89¢