Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether the US House of Representatives will approve at least one article of impeachment against President Donald Trump between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes on a simple House majority vote for impeachment; a Senate trial, conviction, or removal is not required. It is scheduled to resolve by the end of 2026 and currently tracks limited but notable smart money activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,312.
Categories: Trump, Trump Presidency, Politics, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
90% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate made a $3.3k buy on No in a quiet impeachment market, suggesting this is worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets
- They trade across 72 related markets and 58 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- Their $3.3k buy was over 3.2x this market’s 24-hour volume, a clear sign of conviction in an otherwise quiet market
$3,312 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x3a8a...7699 — No, $28,693 (90% win rate)
- 0xdd81...9640 — No, $19,114 (77% win rate)
- 0x011f...1122 — No, $17,015 (40% win rate)
- 0x5a79...6296 — No, $15,665
- 0x4b6f...fcdb — No, $12,344
- 0x2487...f360 — No, $11,684
- 0xacb5...8330 — Yes, $11,224
- 0x3397...f5ab — Yes, $11,000
- 0x511f...9511 — Yes, $10,698
- 0x2e0b...8070 — No, $10,000 (93% win rate)
