Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
4 signals across 1 market · $26,075 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the U.S. House will approve one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump by the end of 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes and No outcomes, with PolySpotter tracking $26,075 in smart money activity, including signals from high win-rate political bettors and whales on both sides.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 89% winner buys impeachment NO
A highly profitable 89% winner placed an $8.7k NO bet that dwarfs this quiet market’s daily volume.
$8,667Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 7.0 - 90% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate made a $3.3k buy on No in a quiet impeachment market, suggesting this is worth tracking despite the modest size.
$3,312Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.6 - 90% winner buys longshot Yes
A bettor with a 90% win rate sold No at 86¢, which converts to buying Yes at 14¢, making a sizable contrarian bet in a quiet political market.
$7,761Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 3.0 - Profitable whale buying quiet YES
A profitable wallet made a $6.3K equivalent BUY Yes on a quiet political market, totaling over 6x the prior 24h volume.
$6,334Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xed107a…d2e5$11,979 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x5a79e8…6296$7,761 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xdd8184…9640$6,334 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Trump is impeached by the end of 2026?
The live odds come from the Polymarket market for whether the House passes at least one article of impeachment by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks those prices alongside smart money activity so you can see how serious bettors are positioning on Yes versus No.
What does this Trump impeachment market resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if the U.S. House of Representatives approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump between July 24, 2025 and December 31, 2026. A Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is not required.
What is smart money doing on the Trump impeachment market?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show mixed positioning: an 89% winner bought No, while a 90% winner and a profitable whale bought Yes exposure. That suggests sharp traders are active on both sides of the impeachment prediction market.
Who is betting on Trump impeachment odds?
PolySpotter has tracked $26,075 in smart money across this event, including activity from high win-rate political bettors and profitable whales. These signals can help identify whether experienced traders are backing the longshot Yes outcome or the No side.
When does the Trump impeachment prediction market end?
The event resolves based on whether the House passes articles of impeachment by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying House vote happens by then, the market resolves to No.