Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,731.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

14-wallet oil cluster

A 14-wallet funded cluster is building the same WTI view, and this wallet also has a strong 77% hit rate across 277 resolved bets.

  • 14 linked wallets funded by the same source have been betting together on this thesis
  • This wallet wins 77% of its bets across 277 resolved markets
  • They bought the equivalent of No at 88¢, a high-confidence bet with oil still far from the $80 downside trigger

$1,702 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

90% win-rate oil bettor

A high-hit-rate bettor with a 90% win rate is making a fresh cross-market commodities bet, buying No at 87¢ on a still-active WTI threshold market.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades, with 131 wins in 146 markets.
  • They are betting across 3 related WTI markets, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt.
  • Buying No at 87¢ means they see the chance of WTI touching $80 this month as lower than the market implies.

$1,232 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

86% win-rate macro bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate bought No at 86¢ in this oil trigger market, making this a modest but credible sharp-money signal despite the single-signal alert.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 181 bets and has put nearly $2.0M to work
  • They bought No at 86¢ in a liquid oil market after the price dropped 14.5 points in a day
  • Their history spans 152 events and 205 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$1,941 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

85% winner, 11-market thesis

A highly profitable 85% win-rate trader with nearly $395k in profits is building a broad thesis across 11 related crude-oil markets, and this trade translates to buying Yes around 26¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime.
  • They have put $66.6k across 11 related oil markets, suggesting a coordinated event-wide view rather than a one-off bet.
  • This trade effectively buys Yes at 26¢, after the market already fell nearly 20 points in a day.

$1,178 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp oil event specialist

A proven high-win-rate trader with nearly $395k in profit is making a fresh cross-market oil thesis bet, buying No at 68¢ in an event where they have already traded 11 related markets.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime
  • They have traded 11 markets in this same oil event and 68 related markets overall, showing a repeatable event-level thesis
  • They bought No at 68¢, which converts to buying Yes at 32¢ and lines up with a market that has already moved sharply in the last day

$1,677 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 67273503, $11,561 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x2375...2128 Outcome 67273503, $10,997
  3. 0x777f...a1bb Outcome 67273503, $3,183 (78% win rate)
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 67273503, $1,270
  5. 0x0c30...6759 Outcome 67273503, $620
  6. 0x55e8...9f0b Outcome 67273503, $382
  7. 0xf4de...eb31 Outcome 67273503, $264
  8. 0x0a6d...1d0a Outcome 67273503, $222
  9. 0xff05...fad7 Outcome 67273503, $221
  10. 0x613c...6806 Outcome 67273503, $195

Related Theses

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Iran meeting occurs April 21

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April deal, no lasting peace

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Blockade lifted in late May

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?$7,731 tracked5 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

18d ago

$1,702 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

18d ago

$1,232 on No at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

20d ago

$1,941 on No at 86¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

21d ago

$1,178 on Yes at 26¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

21d ago

$1,677 on Yes at 32¢

Related Theses