Part of: Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will own the highest-ranked AI model in the Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on September 30, 2026. It resolves using the leaderboard’s Rank column with style control off and the Models filter applied; current market odds were not provided in the page metadata.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,002.

Categories: AI, Tech, AI Rankings, Astra

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Anthropic

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate made a fresh $4,000 bet that represented nearly nine times the market's 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 439 resolved trades and is up $504,474 lifetime.
  • The $4,002 purchase was nearly nine times the market's recent 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction.
  • The trader bought Yes at 73¢, below the current 76¢ market price, implying a favorable entry for a proven bettor.

$4,002 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $176,612
  2. 0xc74a...f01b Yes, $105,108 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x1d7f...017b No, $23,668
  4. 0x49e9...8f85 Yes, $20,077 (98% win rate)
  5. 0xd25d...63fb Yes, $20,000
  6. 0x9648...6825 No, $19,042 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x0042...321e No, $15,000 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x3eae...e2ed Yes, $13,000 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x0b0f...8cd9 No, $11,908
  10. 0x2b9d...adc0 No, $10,474 (53% win rate)

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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

19dWhich company has the best AI model end of September?$4,002 tracked1 signalAITechAI RankingsAstra
Yes
90¢
No
11¢

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Price History — “Yes
92¢
83¢
73¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

7d ago

$4,002 on Yes at 73¢

73¢90¢17¢

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