Part of: Trump renames AI by...?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for artificial intelligence, or directs a federal agency or the federal government to adopt one, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies. Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count. The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,359.

Categories: Trump, Politics, Trump Presidency, artificial intelligence, Tech

Notable Trades

Three-wallet contrarian sell cluster

Three wallets sold $11.4K of Yes amid a sharp odds rally and a 17.6x volume spike, creating a notable contrarian No signal despite some evidence of profit-taking.

  • Three wallets sold $11,399 of Yes while the market’s Yes odds had surged 53% in a day.
  • Trading activity was 17.6 times the historical average; two of the three wallets have positive lifetime P&L.
  • Some sales may be profit-taking from existing Yes positions, so the No signal is not unambiguous.

$11,362 on No

Prolific trader adds to Yes position

A highly active, profitable trader added nearly $4,700 to an existing Yes position amid a 10.9x volume spike and sharp price momentum.

  • A trader with 2,876 resolved bets and $335,556 in reported profit added nearly $4,700 to Yes.
  • This was an add to an existing Yes position, showing increased conviction at an 83¢ entry.
  • Volume spiked 10.9x as Yes rose 78% over the week; the market now prices it at 86¢.

$4,679 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial trader buying Yes

A highly profitable, active trader made a sizable Yes bet amid strong upward price momentum, with a second linked wallet also participating.

  • This bettor is up $731,795 across more than 1,600 resolved markets, though their 61% win rate alone does not establish an edge on this trade.
  • They put $3,318 into Yes at 48¢, while the market has risen 45 percentage points over the past week.
  • A second wallet sharing the same funder also participated, adding some support to the position.

$3,318 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

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Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by...?$19,359 tracked3 signalsTrumpPoliticsTrump Presidencyartificial intelligenceTech
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for artificial intelligence, or directs a federal agency or the federal government to adopt one, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies. Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count. The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Trump renames AI by September 30?

2026-09-29 15:06 UTC

$11,362 on No at 21¢

Trump renames AI by September 30?

2026-09-29 14:59 UTC

$4,679 on Yes at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

Trump renames AI by September 30?

2026-09-28 11:39 UTC

$3,318 on Yes at 48¢

48¢→100¢↑52¢

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