Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
47 smart money signals detected, totaling $129,213.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
WTI whale tail bet
A profitable high-volume wallet is making a broad cross-market WTI upside-tail bet, with $712k positioned across 16 related markets despite this specific entry being small and far out-of-the-money.
- This wallet has bet about $712k across 16 related WTI markets, showing a broad oil-spike thesis.
- The bettor is up $271k lifetime across $10.6M traded, despite winning only 45% of resolved bets.
- This entry is at 1¢, making it a very high-upside tail bet if WTI unexpectedly trades at or above $85 in May.
$1,717 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
87% serial market winner
Sharp 87% lifetime winner with extensive cross-market history is re-entering a No position on a WTI oil price market with meaningful size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
- They have traded 263 markets across 166 events, with $5.2M total activity.
- They bought $7.7K of No at 89¢, signaling high confidence WTI will not hit this level in May.
$7,664 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner across oil markets
A proven 87% winner with $229k lifetime profit is adding a fresh No bet as part of a large cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229k lifetime.
- They have traded 8 related markets in this oil event, with $276,946 positioned across them.
- This is a fresh No re-entry after a prior closed position, suggesting renewed conviction at 87¢.
$4,812 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner oil thesis
Sharp 87% lifetime winner is re-entering No and has a large cross-market oil thesis across 8 related markets.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
- They are active across 8 related oil markets with $272K positioned in this event.
- This is a fresh No re-entry after previously closing a No position on the same market.
$1,445 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner re-enters No
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% long-term win rate is re-entering No across a broader WTI event thesis.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.2M deployed across 166 events.
- This is part of a broader WTI thesis, with $273K traded across 8 related markets.
$2,339 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% serial cross-market bettor
A highly proven 87% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is effectively moving toward Yes by selling No on this oil market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $229K lifetime.
- They have traded 8 related markets in this event, with $272K positioned across them.
- Selling No at 51¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 49¢, after Yes has already moved up 23 points this week.
$1,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp oil cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is expressing a cross-market oil thesis by effectively buying Yes on WTI reaching the $85 threshold.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $523k lifetime.
- They have traded across 5 related oil markets with $53k deployed and an 82% win rate.
- This trade is effectively a Buy Yes at 49¢, meaning they are backing WTI to reach the $85 threshold.
$2,041 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
87% oil specialist positioning
Surfaced because this is a proven 87% win-rate trader with strong cross-market oil positioning, buying No at 74¢ as part of a large event-wide thesis.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $230K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 166 events and over $5.1M in tracked volume.
- This is part of a broader 8-market oil thesis totaling about $273K across runs.
$1,887 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable oil cross-market trader
Profitable wallet with $177k lifetime P&L is actively trading a 12-market WTI thesis, though this specific add is small relative to market volume.
- This bettor is up $177k lifetime and has traded over $4.0M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 12 related WTI markets with $233k in activity, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- This is a fresh No buy at 71¢ after the market moved sharply toward Yes over the past day.
$1,027 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable WTI cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad WTI May upside thesis across 16 related markets, despite this individual trade being modest.
- This wallet is up $271k lifetime and has traded over $10.5M on Polymarket.
- They have put $712k across 16 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- WTI odds are already moving higher, with Yes up about 18 points over the past day.
$2,023 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Top Holders
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Yes, $112,190 (76% win rate)
- 0x131c...6816 — Yes, $30,000 (85% win rate)
- 0xcb7e...d590 — Yes, $29,355
- 0x7017...8118 — Yes, $16,667
- 0xcbef...9ab0 — Yes, $11,843 (71% win rate)
- 0x70bc...0c87 — Yes, $10,363 (79% win rate)
- 0xa5b5...0538 — Yes, $10,298
- 0xa543...13a1 — Yes, $10,255
- 0x343f...d4dc — Yes, $10,000
- 0x5e12...2dff — Yes, $10,000
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