Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal by mid-June”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?, and 10 more are correlated outcomes, committing $27,972 to this thesis across 13 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xfc2f479% win rate

Total

$27,972

Markets

13

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
    $3,263 @ 79¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
    $2,908 @ 48¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $1,050 @ 35¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $3,840 @ 69¢
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $1,350 @ 45¢
  6. 6US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
    $1,500 @ 25¢
  7. 7US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
    $1,254 @ 23¢
  8. 8US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
    $1,496 @ 15¢
  9. 9US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
    $1,215 @ 24¢
  10. 10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
    $6,822 @ 38¢
  11. 11US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
    $1,020 @ 23¢
  12. 12US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
    $1,140 @ 38¢
  13. 13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
    $1,113 @ 47¢
Iran deal by mid-June — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter