Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal by May 24”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $11,878 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xfc2f484% win rate

Total

$11,878

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $4,080 @ 68¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
    $2,908 @ 48¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $1,050 @ 35¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $3,840 @ 69¢
Iran deal by May 24 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter