Part of: Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
41 smart money signals detected, totaling $648,884.
Categories: mayor, Politics, US Election, Elections, Los Angeles, Mayoral Elections, LA, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Notable Trades
84% winner fading longshot
A highly profitable 84% win-rate serial cross-market trader is fading Spencer Pratt by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 88¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $191,728 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 95 events and $256,252 tracked volume.
- Selling Yes at 12¢ means they are effectively buying No at 88¢ after the market already moved down 11% today.
$2,269 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial trader buying YES
Profitable serial cross-market trader effectively bought Yes on Spencer Pratt at 15¢ amid a large volume spike.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 70% resolved wins and +$702k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with $4.65M staked.
- This trade is effectively a 15¢ Yes buy during a 98x volume spike.
$14,959 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate is effectively buying Spencer Pratt Yes around 15¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 377 resolved trades and is up $229k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 87 events and $7.4M of tracked activity.
- Selling No at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 15¢, a contrarian entry after the price fell about 9 points today.
$10,806 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp bettor buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is effectively buying No on Spencer Pratt at 87¢ despite only a modest trade-size signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $217k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying No at 87¢ on a liquid market with heavy recent volume.
- The market has already moved 10 points toward No over the past day, matching this trade direction.
$1,262 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable new whale buying YES
A young repeat large-bet wallet with early profits is taking an $11.2k contrarian longshot position on Yes.
- This 29-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is up $3.1k so far.
- The trader put $11.2k behind Yes at 19¢, a sizable longshot position.
- The bet goes against the market’s recent 5-point drop, suggesting contrarian conviction.
$11,213 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample and $702k lifetime P&L put $148k on No in a liquid mayoral market.
- This bettor is up $702k across 267 resolved markets, with 70% of those bets winning.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 44 events and $4.5M in tracked volume.
- The $148k No buy is a large conviction position, with entry at 78¢ implying about 28% upside if it resolves No.
$148,211 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
84% win-rate serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and +$191,728 lifetime P&L bought Yes despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $191,728 lifetime.
- They have traded across 95 events and 121 markets, suggesting a broad repeatable edge.
- Entry at 24¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current market price.
$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
75% win serial trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $183k lifetime profit is buying No on Spencer Pratt winning the 2026 LA mayoral election.
- This bettor has won 75% of 1,065 resolved bets and is up $183k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 167 events with $1.69M traded.
- Buying No at 78¢ suggests they see Pratt’s odds as still too high despite the market’s liquidity.
$1,560 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven sharp fading longshot
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history is fading Yes on this LA mayoral candidate, equivalent to buying No at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $191,728 lifetime.
- They have traded across 95 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 22¢ is equivalent to buying No at 78¢.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial whale buying NO
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% resolved win rate placed a $48k BUY on No in a high-volume LA mayoral market.
- This bettor has won 71% of 69 resolved trades and is up $242k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events, with $3.36M in tracked positioning.
- The $48k buy on No is fresh conviction at 77¢ in a very liquid market.
$48,148 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x6c39...b28b — Outcome 84204843, $228,183
- 0x97a9...6d5e — Outcome 84204843, $195,715
- 0x6348...f483 — Outcome 84204843, $185,415
- 0xf7a5...2165 — Outcome 84204843, $163,867
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 58101606, $158,512
- 0x0f59...bdf0 — Outcome 84204843, $108,917 (100% win rate)
- 0xd782...9285 — Outcome 84204843, $100,943
- 0xecb1...5da3 — Outcome 84204843, $97,194 (51% win rate)
- 0x218f...7ef2 — Outcome 84204843, $87,041
- 0xd046...98b1 — Outcome 84204843, $83,326
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