Part of: Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

This prediction market asks whether Spencer Pratt will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The market is scheduled to resolve based on the candidate who wins the election, with the primary vote on June 2, 2026 and a possible runoff on November 3, 2026 if no candidate gets a majority. PolySpotter tracks $8,480 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including recent NO-side buying from high-performing bettors.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,382.

Categories: mayor, Politics, US Election, Elections, Los Angeles, Mayoral Elections, LA, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate and $684k lifetime profit bought $8.5k of No on a political market.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 266 resolved trades and is up about $684k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 43 events with $4.4M in tracked volume.
  • They bought $8.5k of No at 70¢, fading a market that has moved strongly toward Yes over the past week.

$8,480 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable 75% winner buying YES

Surfaced because the wallet meets the sharp-bettor override with a 75% resolved win rate and $11.3k profit, despite only a modest win-rate signal.

  • This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $11.3k lifetime.
  • They are effectively buying Yes at 31¢, adding to a market that has moved up 13 points this week.
  • The bet is modest but comes from a wallet with a proven positive track record.

$4,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial event trader

Serial cross-market trader with a 66% resolved win rate and $191k profit is buying No against a hyped mayoral longshot market.

  • This bettor is up $191,863 across resolved markets and has won 66% of their settled bets.
  • They have traded 78 markets across 41 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 70¢ goes against the recent 11-point weekly move toward Yes.

$3,638 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial trader fading hype

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $5k of No, fading recent Yes momentum in a political market.

  • This bettor is up $191k lifetime across $11.2M in bets.
  • They have traded across 77 related markets and win 66% of resolved positions.
  • The trade buys No at 70¢ after Yes rose 12 points this week, suggesting a fade of recent momentum.

$5,035 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

85% winner buying long-shot

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and $126k profit bought Yes at 30¢ on a long-shot LA mayoral market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $126k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying Yes at 30¢ implies they see meaningful upside despite the market already moving up 9.5 points this week.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% winner buying NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate bought $12.8k of No, backed by an 18-wallet funded network signal.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 101 events with $7.4M in detected cross-market activity.
  • The $12.8k No buy was 84% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quieter election market.

$12,761 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

31-0 cross-market bettor

Surface: a serial cross-market bettor with a 31-0 resolved record and $34.6k profit is buying No, though the bet is modest and on a liquid long-dated market.

  • This bettor is 31-for-31 on resolved trades and up $34.6k lifetime.
  • They have traded 37 events with over $1.0M deployed, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • Buying No at 81¢ pays about 23% if Spencer Pratt does not win.

$2,182 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record serial bettor buys NO

A serial cross-market bettor with a perfect resolved record put $5.6k on No, nearly matching the market's entire 24h volume, though the long time to resolution makes this lower urgency.

  • This bettor has won 31 of 31 resolved bets and has traded over $1M across 34 events.
  • The $5.6k No bet was 92% of this market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quieter market.
  • Entry at 76¢ implies they are backing Spencer Pratt not winning as the mispriced side.

$5,646 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa022...77f8 No, $39,756 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x44a0...c3b9 No, $37,056
  3. 0x15fd...cc95 No, $30,306 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xde7b...5f4b No, $28,983 (85% win rate)
  5. 0xde04...fa37 Yes, $24,922 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x88e2...7489 No, $20,010 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x5a56...a644 Yes, $19,641
  8. 0xc693...72db Yes, $18,761
  9. 0x000d...758e No, $15,181 (85% win rate)
  10. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $14,722

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Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

19dLos Angeles Mayoral Election$43,382 tracked8 signalsmayorPoliticsUS ElectionElectionsLos AngelesMayoral ElectionsLARewards 50, 4.5, 100
Yes
28¢
No
72¢

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Price History — “No
88¢
77¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

2h ago

$8,480 on No at 70¢

70¢72¢2¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

1d ago

$4,140 on Yes at 31¢

31¢28¢3¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

1d ago

$3,638 on No at 70¢

70¢72¢2¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

1d ago

$5,035 on No at 70¢

70¢72¢2¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

2d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 30¢

30¢28¢2¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

7d ago

$12,761 on No at 84¢

84¢72¢12¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

9d ago

$2,182 on No at 81¢

81¢72¢9¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

10d ago

$5,646 on No at 76¢

76¢72¢4¢

Related Theses