Part of: Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
41 smart money signals detected, totaling $648,884.
Categories: mayor, Politics, US Election, Elections, Los Angeles, Mayoral Elections, LA, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Notable Trades
84% winner fading longshot
A highly profitable 84% win-rate serial cross-market trader is fading Spencer Pratt by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 88¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $191,728 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 95 events and $256,252 tracked volume.
- Selling Yes at 12¢ means they are effectively buying No at 88¢ after the market already moved down 11% today.
$2,269 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate is effectively buying Spencer Pratt Yes around 15¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 377 resolved trades and is up $229k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 87 events and $7.4M of tracked activity.
- Selling No at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 15¢, a contrarian entry after the price fell about 9 points today.
$10,806 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial trader buying YES
Profitable serial cross-market trader effectively bought Yes on Spencer Pratt at 15¢ amid a large volume spike.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 70% resolved wins and +$702k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with $4.65M staked.
- This trade is effectively a 15¢ Yes buy during a 98x volume spike.
$14,959 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp bettor buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is effectively buying No on Spencer Pratt at 87¢ despite only a modest trade-size signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $217k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying No at 87¢ on a liquid market with heavy recent volume.
- The market has already moved 10 points toward No over the past day, matching this trade direction.
$1,262 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable new whale buying YES
A young repeat large-bet wallet with early profits is taking an $11.2k contrarian longshot position on Yes.
- This 29-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is up $3.1k so far.
- The trader put $11.2k behind Yes at 19¢, a sizable longshot position.
- The bet goes against the market’s recent 5-point drop, suggesting contrarian conviction.
$11,213 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample and $702k lifetime P&L put $148k on No in a liquid mayoral market.
- This bettor is up $702k across 267 resolved markets, with 70% of those bets winning.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 44 events and $4.5M in tracked volume.
- The $148k No buy is a large conviction position, with entry at 78¢ implying about 28% upside if it resolves No.
$148,211 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
84% win-rate serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and +$191,728 lifetime P&L bought Yes despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $191,728 lifetime.
- They have traded across 95 events and 121 markets, suggesting a broad repeatable edge.
- Entry at 24¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current market price.
$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
75% win serial trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $183k lifetime profit is buying No on Spencer Pratt winning the 2026 LA mayoral election.
- This bettor has won 75% of 1,065 resolved bets and is up $183k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 167 events with $1.69M traded.
- Buying No at 78¢ suggests they see Pratt’s odds as still too high despite the market’s liquidity.
$1,560 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven sharp fading longshot
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history is fading Yes on this LA mayoral candidate, equivalent to buying No at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $191,728 lifetime.
- They have traded across 95 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 22¢ is equivalent to buying No at 78¢.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Serial whale buying NO
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% resolved win rate placed a $48k BUY on No in a high-volume LA mayoral market.
- This bettor has won 71% of 69 resolved trades and is up $242k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events, with $3.36M in tracked positioning.
- The $48k buy on No is fresh conviction at 77¢ in a very liquid market.
$48,148 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
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