Los Angeles Mayoral Election
114 signals across 3 markets · $1,037,504 tracked · resolves Jun 2, 2026
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election prediction market tracks which candidate will win the race, with current child markets focused on Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt. PolySpotter is monitoring $45,720 in tracked smart money across the event, including signals from perfect-record and high-win-rate political bettors buying both long-shot exposure and NO positions.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner buying NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate bought $12.8k of No, backed by an 18-wallet funded network signal.
$12,761Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 12.4 - Sharp-led Yes cluster
High-score Yes cluster with four wallets, including a profitable 92% winner and a repeat new-wallet large bettor, all positioning the same way near market resolution.
$15,468Score: 11.0 - 7-wallet cluster buying NO
A known 7-wallet funded cluster made a $163k No bet, exceeding 24h volume on a political market.
$163,543Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.3 - Seven-wallet funded cluster backs Yes
A high-volume serial trader with substantial lifetime profit sold No while seven linked wallets share a funder, creating a notable signal for Yes despite no clear edge from the win-rate comparison.
$5,680Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 9.2 - Profitable trader leads four-wallet cluster
A highly profitable, serial cross-market trader sold Yes, while three other commonly funded wallets joined the position, making this a notable bearish signal on Bass.
$4,167Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.1 - 85% win-rate political whale
A highly proven cross-market trader with an 85% win rate and +$1.38M lifetime P&L bought $12.4K of Yes in a political market showing strong recent momentum.
$12,384Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0 - Proven trader in four-wallet cluster
A proven, highly profitable cross-market trader is part of a four-wallet funded cluster, though the opposing sells make the market-specific direction less clear.
$7,110Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.8 - Seven-wallet funded cluster backs No
A seven-wallet shared-funder cluster has $2,155 behind No, supported by a serial cross-market trader and a recent decline in Yes prices.
$2,155Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet funded cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are associated with roughly $2,268 of exposure, making the coordinated positioning notable, though the trader's win rate does not establish a clear edge.
$2,268Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet funded cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are associated with roughly $2,268 of exposure, making the coordinated positioning notable, though the trader's win rate does not establish a clear edge.
$1,460Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe899b5…0899$244,198 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xa2cd4c…2ba0$163,543 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xa022ba…77f8$79,021 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x3c593a…1766$67,250 · 2 markets · 8 alerts · 73% wins
- 0x1fee90…ed5e$55,559 · 2 markets · 7 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xad89f8…f6e1$44,845 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$30,013 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x0f59b3…bdf0$27,201 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x000d25…758e$25,145 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0xe40362…e5a4$22,968 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket odds for the Los Angeles mayoral election reflect what traders are willing to pay for each candidate’s chance of winning. This event hub aggregates the related candidate markets, including Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt, so you can compare how the race is being priced overall.
What is the smart money doing in the Los Angeles mayoral election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $45,720 in smart money and 9 signals across this event. Recent alerts include an 85% winner buying NO, a perfect-record political bettor entering positions, a 31-0 cross-market bettor, and smart money taking long-shot exposure.
Which candidates are included in this prediction market event?
The current child markets in this event ask whether Nithya Raman or Spencer Pratt will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The event is designed to resolve based on the candidate who ultimately wins the mayoral race.
When will the Los Angeles mayoral election market resolve?
The election is scheduled for June 2, 2026. If no candidate receives a majority and the race goes to a runoff, final resolution may depend on the November 3, 2026 runoff results and credible reporting or official election information.
How should I interpret NO buying in a candidate market?
Buying NO means a trader is betting that a specific candidate will not win. In multi-candidate election events, smart NO buying can signal skepticism about a candidate’s true chances, especially when it comes from high-win-rate or perfect-record political bettors.