Los Angeles Mayoral Election
67 signals across 3 markets · $722,708 tracked · resolves Jun 2, 2026
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election prediction market tracks which candidate will win the race, with current child markets focused on Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt. PolySpotter is monitoring $45,720 in tracked smart money across the event, including signals from perfect-record and high-win-rate political bettors buying both long-shot exposure and NO positions.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner buying NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate bought $12.8k of No, backed by an 18-wallet funded network signal.
$12,761Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.4 - Sharp-led Yes cluster
High-score Yes cluster with four wallets, including a profitable 92% winner and a repeat new-wallet large bettor, all positioning the same way near market resolution.
$15,468Score: 11.0 - 7-wallet cluster buying NO
A known 7-wallet funded cluster made a $163k No bet, exceeding 24h volume on a political market.
$163,543Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.3 - 85% win-rate political whale
A highly proven cross-market trader with an 85% win rate and +$1.38M lifetime P&L bought $12.4K of Yes in a political market showing strong recent momentum.
$12,384Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 9.0 - Perfect-record wallets buying NO
Three highly profitable, high-win-rate wallets clustered on the same No side, including a serial cross-market trader with 33 resolved wins and no losses.
$7,129Score: 8.1 - Sharp bettor fading Yes
Sharp cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and $189k lifetime profit is fading Spencer Pratt by selling Yes at 22¢.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 85% winner buying long-shot
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and $126k profit bought Yes at 30¢ on a long-shot LA mayoral market.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - Sharp 85% winner fading Yes
Sharp bettor with an 85% record and $191k lifetime profit is fading Spencer Pratt Yes despite only modest price movement.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 84% winner fading longshot
Sharp wallet with an 84% win rate and $191k profit is fading Spencer Pratt by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$1,150Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 84% winner buying longshot
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 84% resolved win rate and $152k profit bought Yes on Spencer Pratt for LA mayor at 22¢.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe899b5…0899$244,198 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xa2cd4c…2ba0$163,543 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xa022ba…77f8$79,021 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 70% wins
- 0x0f59b3…bdf0$27,201 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x000d25…758e$25,145 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xe40362…e5a4$22,968 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xafe65d…8192$13,769 · 1 market · 10 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x8b3689…a393$11,213 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xfb5148…742d$11,205 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 71% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$10,806 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket odds for the Los Angeles mayoral election reflect what traders are willing to pay for each candidate’s chance of winning. This event hub aggregates the related candidate markets, including Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt, so you can compare how the race is being priced overall.
What is the smart money doing in the Los Angeles mayoral election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $45,720 in smart money and 9 signals across this event. Recent alerts include an 85% winner buying NO, a perfect-record political bettor entering positions, a 31-0 cross-market bettor, and smart money taking long-shot exposure.
Which candidates are included in this prediction market event?
The current child markets in this event ask whether Nithya Raman or Spencer Pratt will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The event is designed to resolve based on the candidate who ultimately wins the mayoral race.
When will the Los Angeles mayoral election market resolve?
The election is scheduled for June 2, 2026. If no candidate receives a majority and the race goes to a runoff, final resolution may depend on the November 3, 2026 runoff results and credible reporting or official election information.
How should I interpret NO buying in a candidate market?
Buying NO means a trader is betting that a specific candidate will not win. In multi-candidate election events, smart NO buying can signal skepticism about a candidate’s true chances, especially when it comes from high-win-rate or perfect-record political bettors.