Part of: TN-06 Republican Primary Winner
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?
This prediction market tracks whether Johnny Garrett will become the Republican nominee for Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. The Republican primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026, with the market resolving to the winning nominee or “Other” if no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,085.
Categories: US Election, Politics, Elections, Primaries, tennessee, deprec USA Election, House Primary, Tennessee Primary, August 6 Primaries, Republican Primary
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scales into Yes
A proven profitable bettor with a 33-point edge over implied odds added $5,085 to an existing Yes position in a thin market that has risen 14% in one day.
- This bettor has won 75% of 16 resolved trades, entering at average odds of 42% and earning a 33-point edge.
- They added $5,085 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment to roughly $12,000 on Garrett.
- The trade entered at 79¢ while the market has since climbed to 88%, with the bet exceeding the market's recent 24-hour volume.
$5,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $12,293
- 0xc8b9...b836 — Yes, $9,904 (65% win rate)
- 0xa2dc...49f9 — Yes, $7,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x98d0...f14a — No, $4,361 (71% win rate)
- 0xb1ca...1705 — No, $4,137 (59% win rate)
- 0xdd5d...1614 — Yes, $3,500 (79% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $2,165
- 0x215a...254c — No, $1,736
- 0xa075...3f32 — Yes, $1,591 (60% win rate)
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $1,198