Part of: Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,923.
Categories: Claude 5, AI, Sonnet, Tech, anthropic
Notable Trades
Profitable new repeat bettor
New 17-day wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early positive P&L bought Yes despite the market now pricing lower.
- This 17-day-old wallet has already been flagged 8 times for large bets, totaling about $20.6K.
- The bettor is up $2.2K so far and has won 4 of 5 resolved markets.
- They paid 50¢ for Yes, above the current 34¢ market price, showing strong conviction on a thin, wide-spread market.
$2,917 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
82% winner buying momentum
Proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate bought Yes after major upward momentum in an AI release-date market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $8.8k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 62¢ while the market has jumped 24.5 points in the past day.
- Entry at 62¢ implies they still see upside before the June 2026 deadline.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
1-day repeat new wallet
A 1-day-old wallet has rapidly built multiple flagged positions and paid the full 60¢ ask on a thin market, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- This brand-new wallet has already made 9 flagged bets totaling about $17k in under 2 days.
- They paid 60¢ for Yes despite a wide spread, suggesting urgency or strong conviction.
- The market has seen heavy recent activity, with $17k traded in 24h and Yes up 10 points.
$1,006 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 35%
Top Holders
- 0xfefb...8f26 — Outcome 83157741, $8,088
- 0x5b71...cb46 — Outcome 83157741, $5,250
- 0x7280...0838 — Outcome 83157741, $5,119
- 0x1a43...1a84 — Outcome 83157741, $3,718
- 0xb22c...464c — Outcome 83157741, $3,508
- 0x4178...fbcb — Outcome 83157741, $3,179
- 0xe656...3753 — Outcome 83157741, $3,003
- 0xdf90...5637 — Outcome 83157741, $2,818
- 0x1f66...4c8d — Outcome 83157741, $2,418 (56% win rate)
- 0x3908...d10e — Outcome 83157741, $1,500
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Fable returns after June 22
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Mythos releases by June 9
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Ceasefire arrives after July 24
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Next Claude Sonnet releases by June
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Gemini Pro launches by August 21
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